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Multiples Valuation: Moog Inc.

Moog Inc. (MOG-A)

Industry: Aerospace & Defense Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $331.49 — $531.99
Selected (Average) $437.96
Upside to Live 50.61%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $349.22 — $581.47
Selected (Average) $464.64
Upside to Live 59.78%
Live Price $290.80

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
000768.SZ 30 AVIC Xi'an Aircraf 6,336 69.38 72.53 39.05 41.37 55.45 59.95
SARO 31 StandardAero, Inc. 5,872 56.27 56.27 19.47 19.47 23.39 25.89
600760.SS 32 AVIC Shenyang Airc 5,410 69.21 59.84 49.51 44.32 206.23 48.91
KOG.OL 33 Kongsberg Gruppen 5,339 48.65 40.07 31.55 24.70 41.30 34.75
VVX 34 V2X, Inc. 4,419 19.10 15.78 4.70 3.34 6.22 5.32
FII.PA 35 Lisi S.A. 4,241 14.79 15.61 5.17 5.07 6.16 8.84
600038.SS 36 Avicopter Plc 3,905 52.01 53.76 43.69 46.62 142.97 38.47
MOG-A 37 Moog Inc. 3,866 27.57 13.80 13.46 10.35 14.27 14.36
ASELS.IS 38 Aselsan Elektronik 3,861 34.89 25.17 34.05 24.98 18.44 13.66
DRS 39 Leonardo DRS, Inc. 3,569 45.45 33.40 28.65 24.40 32.81 29.97
WWD 40 Woodward, Inc. 3,567 34.25 30.32 24.26 22.68 24.97 28.20
CAE 41 CAE Inc. 3,506 30.43 19.24 14.15 11.85 26.47 16.48
600372.SS 42 AVIC Airborne Syst 3,410 82.75 82.00 30.60 27.36 36.08 56.37
CW 43 Curtiss-Wright Cor 3,376 43.87 38.33 28.07 25.35 32.05 31.16
IRKT.ME 44 PJSC Yakovlev 3,294 - - -17.35 -17.35 -6.34 -
BWXT 45 BWX Technologies, 3,059 54.98 53.76 35.19 34.12 49.68 46.95

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple44.6635.8628.3624.5529.2629.09
Full Range Median Multiple47.0539.2029.6324.8432.4330.57
Industry Multiple46.8642.5827.7225.4050.1631.78
Market Implied Multiple39.1819.6019.0514.6520.1920.32
Company (MOG-A) Multiple27.5713.8013.4610.3514.2714.36
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue235470488635461458
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A13,85415,59513,48613,320
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A14,47215,77814,94813,997
(-) Net Debt979797979797
Winsorized Equity Value10,49716,84613,75815,49913,38913,223
Full Range Median Equity Value11,05918,41314,37515,68214,85113,901
(/) Shares Outstanding323232323232
Winsorized Fair Value$331.49$531.99$434.45$489.44$422.82$417.57
Full Range Median Fair Value$349.22$581.47$453.97$495.21$468.99$438.97
Current Price$290.80$290.80$290.80$290.80$290.80$290.80
Upside / Downside13.99%82.94%49.40%68.31%45.40%43.59%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$232.04$372.39$304.12$342.60$295.97$292.30
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY