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Multiples Valuation: Altria Group, Inc.

Altria Group, Inc. (MO)

Industry: Tobacco Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $36.20 — $107.00
Selected (Average) $59.24
Upside to Live -4.08%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $43.93 — $110.23
Selected (Average) $63.21
Upside to Live 2.34%
Live Price $61.76

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
BATS.L 1 British American T 69,253 - - 8.12 7.38 5.21 -
ITB.DE 2 Imperial Brands PL 67,726 5.17 4.59 4.38 3.74 5.90 4.74
PM 3 Philip Morris Inte 39,940 29.32 28.67 16.89 15.72 17.51 18.72
2914.T 4 Japan Tobacco Inc. 21,780 34.73 35.81 13.41 12.99 8.73 23.60
MO 5 Altria Group, Inc. 20,166 12.54 7.62 11.32 11.32 10.60 12.21
HMSP.JK 6 PT Hanjaya Mandala 5,742 15.98 17.89 9.49 10.37 7.71 11.59
GGRM.JK 7 PT Gudang Garam Tb 5,500 24.55 37.64 6.23 7.95 5.48 18.69
033780.KS 8 KT&G Corporation 4,350 12.57 12.19 6.44 5.94 8.30 11.91
6055.HK 9 China Tobacco Inte 3,532 12.50 12.50 9.02 9.02 6.01 8.57
6969.HK 10 Smoore Internation 3,391 37.78 37.78 29.31 29.31 54.43 41.03
UVV 11 Universal Corporat 2,987 12.53 10.93 8.12 6.97 9.25 8.34
KARE.AT 12 Karelia Tobacco Co 1,866 9.05 8.58 6.23 6.22 4.55 5.29
VGR 13 Vector Group Ltd. 1,421 8.42 7.14 7.35 6.99 6.71 7.16
GODFRYPHLP.BO 14 Godfrey Phillips I 657 37.14 28.10 35.41 28.46 40.93 21.69
RMBA.JK 15 PT Bentoel Interna 515 8.42 8.42 11.98 8.60 4.99 11.43
4162.KL 16 British American T 465 11.21 12.93 10.53 11.85 42.33 12.11

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple12.5112.348.127.956.7111.51
Full Range Median Multiple12.5512.729.028.607.7111.75
Industry Multiple18.5318.8012.1911.4315.2014.63
Market Implied Multiple11.737.1210.7210.7210.0411.57
Company (MO) Multiple12.547.6211.3211.3210.6012.21
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue8,86914,59912,09512,09512,92011,214
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A98,26896,21086,667129,085
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A109,044104,04599,672131,760
(-) Net Debt25,70125,70125,70125,70125,70125,701
Winsorized Equity Value110,976180,18772,56770,50960,966103,384
Full Range Median Equity Value111,282185,63283,34378,34473,971106,059
(/) Shares Outstanding1,6841,6841,6841,6841,6841,684
Winsorized Fair Value$65.90$107.00$43.09$41.87$36.20$61.39
Full Range Median Fair Value$66.08$110.23$49.49$46.52$43.93$62.98
Current Price$61.76$61.76$61.76$61.76$61.76$61.76
Upside / Downside6.70%73.25%-30.23%-32.21%-41.38%-0.60%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$46.13$74.90$30.16$29.31$25.34$42.97
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy