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Multiples Valuation: MGE Energy, Inc.

MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE)

Industry: Diversified Utilities Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $61.11 — $97.49
Selected (Average) $78.73
Upside to Live -1.07%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $63.74 — $122.43
Selected (Average) $89.57
Upside to Live 12.55%
Live Price $79.58

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
NWE 34 Northwestern Energ 1,570 16.59 15.64 10.97 10.22 21.00 17.63
ALE 35 ALLETE, Inc. 1,500 23.28 23.59 12.68 12.35 50.81 44.87
OTTR 36 Otter Tail Corpora 1,299 12.30 9.97 8.55 7.39 10.74 10.20
AST.AX 37 AusNet Services Lt 1,272 - - 6.94 6.72 11.22 10.94
600509.SS 38 Xinjiang Tianfu En 1,197 94.98 94.98 15.59 15.22 39.88 106.93
YU.L 39 Yü Group PLC 901 8.78 8.78 4.47 4.47 4.87 4.61
QEWS.QA 40 Qatar Electricity 829 13.93 14.44 12.49 12.66 29.26 23.21
MGEE 41 MGE Energy, Inc. 726 24.01 22.31 13.31 12.38 19.17 22.15
ZOREN.IS 42 Zorlu Enerji Elekt 715 - - 41.93 42.78 59.33 36.81
600396.SS 43 Huadian Liaoning E 622 71.99 81.43 86.40 71.26 30.30 44.24
600969.SS 44 Hunan Chendian Int 574 - - 25.55 28.80 62.07 96.29
UTL 45 Unitil Corporation 502 18.05 16.52 8.80 8.04 53.72 16.21
600101.SS 46 Sichuan Mingxing E 431 31.08 27.25 19.92 20.87 10.19 25.72
000692.SZ 47 Shenyang Huitian T 298 - - - - - -
MNTK 48 Montauk Renewables 161 - - 15.01 15.32 20.51 -
3825.T 49 Remixpoint, Inc. 160 15.64 15.64 14.97 14.97 5.05 20.39

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple16.5915.6412.5812.5020.7620.39
Full Range Median Multiple17.3216.0813.8213.8225.1323.21
Industry Multiple30.6630.8220.3119.3629.2135.24
Market Implied Multiple21.6020.0712.2311.3817.6120.35
Company (MGEE) Multiple24.0122.3113.3112.3819.1722.15
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue135145300322208180
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A3,7764,0324,3243,677
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A4,1484,4555,2354,185
(-) Net Debt762762762762762762
Winsorized Equity Value2,2332,2663,0143,2713,5622,915
Full Range Median Equity Value2,3312,3293,3863,6934,4733,423
(/) Shares Outstanding373737373737
Winsorized Fair Value$61.11$62.01$82.50$89.51$97.49$79.78
Full Range Median Fair Value$63.80$63.74$92.67$101.08$122.43$93.69
Current Price$79.58$79.58$79.58$79.58$79.58$79.58
Upside / Downside-23.21%-22.08%3.66%12.48%22.51%0.25%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$42.78$43.41$57.75$62.66$68.25$55.84
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy