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Multiples Valuation: Marriott International, Inc.

Marriott International, Inc. (MAR)

Industry: Travel Lodging Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $101.04 — $215.28
Selected (Average) $148.95
Upside to Live -54.29%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $116.42 — $257.80
Selected (Average) $178.53
Upside to Live -45.22%
Live Price $325.88

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
MAR 1 Marriott Internati 25,925 27.10 15.80 18.47 13.97 18.42 13.78
IHG.L 2 InterContinental H 12,559 12.96 11.58 8.70 7.90 8.62 9.19
0J5I.L 3 Hilton Worldwide H 9,924 37.10 37.10 26.74 20.12 23.51 18.27
0UC3.L 4 Norwegian Cruise L 9,693 16.74 16.74 10.55 10.55 8.49 16.02
WTB.L 5 Whitbread plc 7,824 9.70 10.47 5.55 5.23 6.05 8.83
000069.SZ 6 Shenzhen Overseas 5,976 - - - - - -
MINT-R.BK 7 Minor Internationa 5,047 18.06 18.06 7.13 5.96 18.65 32.30
0OQ0.L 8 Pierre et Vacances 4,326 14.54 14.54 0.97 0.65 2.42 1.45
H 9 Hyatt Hotels Corpo 4,284 - - 26.03 26.03 23.03 13.31
1179.HK 10 H World Group Limi 3,521 1.94 1.94 4.45 4.45 4.31 6.07
0OHG.L 11 Minor Hotels Europ 2,909 10.47 10.47 8.78 7.32 6.39 5.42
0045.HK 12 The Hongkong and S 2,473 - - 9.76 9.95 22.73 18.54
FTAL.TA 13 Fattal Holdings (1 2,324 53.17 53.17 12.46 10.18 20.57 9.82
600754.SS 14 Shanghai Jin Jiang 1,918 44.43 43.91 18.76 15.80 12.93 26.33
CHH 15 Choice Hotels Inte 1,596 12.89 10.04 10.82 8.58 12.11 12.15
600138.SS 16 China Cyts Tours H 1,552 55.66 55.66 18.60 14.84 15.63 20.09

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple13.7513.069.278.2410.3710.99
Full Range Median Multiple15.6415.6410.169.2712.5212.73
Industry Multiple23.9723.6412.0910.5413.2514.13
Market Implied Multiple33.9019.7722.2416.8322.1916.60
Company (MAR) Multiple27.1015.8018.4713.9718.4213.78
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue2,6114,4784,7096,2244,7206,310
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A43,65551,29048,93369,333
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A47,83257,67559,09180,350
(-) Net Debt16,20816,20816,20816,20816,20816,208
Winsorized Equity Value35,90258,47827,44735,08232,72553,125
Full Range Median Equity Value40,83370,02931,62441,46742,88364,142
(/) Shares Outstanding272272272272272272
Winsorized Fair Value$132.17$215.28$101.04$129.15$120.47$195.57
Full Range Median Fair Value$150.32$257.80$116.42$152.65$157.86$236.13
Current Price$325.88$325.88$325.88$325.88$325.88$325.88
Upside / Downside-59.44%-33.94%-68.99%-60.37%-63.03%-39.99%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$92.52$150.69$70.73$90.40$84.33$136.90
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy