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Multiples Valuation: ISA Energía Brasil S.A.

ISA Energía Brasil S.A. (ISAE4.SA)

Industry: Independent Power Producers Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $23.84 — $70.65
Selected (Average) $40.37
Upside to Live 55.63%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $31.79 — $94.45
Selected (Average) $56.61
Upside to Live 118.22%
Live Price $25.94

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
MSNG.ME 22 PJSC Mosenergo 2,266 - - 5.40 6.26 - -
2082.SR 23 ACWA POWER Company 1,916 108.48 108.48 52.61 52.61 121.86 89.98
OGKB.ME 24 Public Joint-Stock 1,869 3.33 2.73 2.15 2.02 3.95 2.82
JSWENERGY.BO 25 JSW Energy Limited 1,765 45.81 40.32 20.36 16.73 17.93 16.22
BGRIM-R.BK 26 B.Grimm Power Publ 1,764 18.14 18.21 9.39 9.12 16.51 17.74
JE 27 Just Energy Group 1,726 0.73 0.70 - - - 1.25
UPRO.ME 28 Public Joint-Stock 1,644 3.14 2.71 2.11 1.85 3.30 3.96
ISAE4.SA 29 ISA Energía Brasi 1,616 5.56 5.56 7.68 7.68 6.57 9.02
ADANITRANS.NS 30 Adani Transmission 1,530 68.44 68.25 13.85 12.04 22.22 16.76
TGKB.ME 31 Public Joint-Stock 1,353 - - 1.61 1.41 1.59 1.49
TRPL4.SA 32 CTEEP - Companhia 1,292 4.84 4.36 5.80 5.06 9.42 11.06
ECGF.F 33 Electricity Genera 1,264 6.07 6.33 6.74 6.79 36.96 40.68
XIFR 34 XPLR Infrastructur 1,231 - - 100.70 161.21 302.10 -
000690.SZ 35 Guangdong Baolihua 1,214 10.76 12.31 8.34 9.65 10.54 13.31
OPCE.TA 36 OPC Energy Ltd. 878 53.12 34.58 14.64 11.18 13.12 15.21
RPOWER.BO 37 Reliance Power Lim 851 61.28 61.28 11.49 11.95 20.30 12.54

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple8.419.327.547.9513.1212.54
Full Range Median Multiple14.4515.268.879.3816.5113.31
Industry Multiple32.0130.0218.2321.9944.6018.69
Market Implied Multiple5.845.847.897.896.759.27
Company (ISAE4.SA) Multiple5.565.567.687.686.579.02
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue530530716716837610
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A5,3995,69410,9857,646
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A6,3476,71713,8258,115
(-) Net Debt2,5542,5542,5542,5542,5542,554
Winsorized Equity Value4,4574,9402,8453,1408,4325,092
Full Range Median Equity Value7,6558,0863,7934,16311,2715,562
(/) Shares Outstanding119119119119119119
Winsorized Fair Value$37.35$41.39$23.84$26.31$70.65$42.67
Full Range Median Fair Value$64.15$67.76$31.79$34.88$94.45$46.60
Current Price$25.94$25.94$25.94$25.94$25.94$25.94
Upside / Downside43.99%59.57%-8.09%1.43%172.37%64.49%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$26.15$28.97$16.69$18.42$49.46$29.87
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUY