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Multiples Valuation: Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc.

Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. (HWBK)

Industry: Banks - Regional Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $30.84 — $38.43
Selected (Average) $34.61
Upside to Live 9.13%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $37.40 — $47.30
Selected (Average) $41.52
Upside to Live 30.94%
Live Price $31.71

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
CVLY 673 Codorus Valley Ban 115 9.65 9.41 7.14 7.38 11.34 4.94
AVBH 674 Avidbank Holdings, 114 8.18 6.88 5.90 5.90 - 6.14
0QV3.L 675 Glarner Kantonalba 114 13.36 13.62 - - 69.09 60.95
BINA.JK 676 PT Bank Ina Perdan 113 6,151.19 7,531.15 423.66 360.96 564.11 2,778.51
NWFL 677 Norwood Financial 112 30.40 33.88 16.62 18.17 4.33 21.04
ESSA 678 ESSA Bancorp, Inc. 112 12.16 11.95 17.39 17.01 25.34 18.75
TRANSCOR.BO 679 Transcorp Internat 112 25.81 25.81 10.43 10.43 15.28 50.46
HWBK 680 Hawthorn Bancshare 111 9.77 8.80 6.84 6.25 6.65 6.60
TSBK 681 Timberland Bancorp 110 8.99 8.67 0.91 0.89 0.84 0.92
BNORDIK-CSE.CO 682 P/F BankNordik 110 4.46 4.00 - - - -5.37
FSFG 683 First Savings Fina 109 12.09 13.69 8.37 9.81 - 10.74
FCCO 684 First Community Co 107 11.63 10.14 5.62 4.70 7.28 6.97
CALB 685 California BanCorp 107 21.12 21.29 12.04 10.88 2.42 2.63
ISBA 686 Isabella Bank Corp 106 14.28 13.25 13.17 12.28 12.73 13.15
AMAR.JK 687 PT Bank Amar Indon 104 12.35 9.26 6.26 4.65 7.47 4.79
PLBC 688 Plumas Bancorp 102 10.24 9.03 4.76 4.21 6.62 4.45

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple12.0910.147.147.387.386.56
Full Range Median Multiple12.1611.958.379.819.408.86
Industry Multiple423.06514.8040.9435.9460.57213.18
Market Implied Multiple9.988.997.006.396.816.76
Company (HWBK) Multiple9.778.806.846.256.656.60
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue222529323030
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A208235221198
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A244313282267
(-) Net Debt-18-18-18-18-18-18
Winsorized Equity Value269250225253239216
Full Range Median Equity Value270295261331299285
(/) Shares Outstanding777777
Winsorized Fair Value$38.43$35.76$32.26$36.20$34.14$30.84
Full Range Median Fair Value$38.65$42.18$37.40$47.30$42.83$40.78
Current Price$31.71$31.71$31.71$31.71$31.71$31.71
Upside / Downside21.18%12.79%1.74%14.17%7.66%-2.73%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$26.90$25.04$22.58$25.34$23.90$21.59
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy