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Multiples Valuation: Honeywell International Inc. Common Stock Ex Distribution When Issued

Honeywell International Inc. Common Stock Ex Distribution When Issued (HONIV)

Industry: Conglomerates Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $80.81 — $160.40
Selected (Average) $120.75
Upside to Live -39.92%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $87.42 — $188.04
Selected (Average) $148.95
Upside to Live -25.89%
Live Price $200.99

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
8015.T 6 Toyota Tsusho Corp 67,246 12.71 10.54 8.32 7.31 10.25 9.57
6501.T 7 Hitachi, Ltd. 63,149 30.41 23.92 13.47 11.94 22.99 17.82
KCHOL.IS 8 Koç Holding A.S. 58,327 25.51 21.81 7.28 4.59 11.38 11.20
0656.HK 9 Fosun Internationa 54,013 - - 45.36 47.06 14.39 -
8002.T 10 Marubeni Corporati 52,049 10.68 10.68 11.73 5.73 49.69 28.08
000880.KS 11 Hanwha Corporation 48,549 6.25 4.50 5.87 4.36 10.72 9.39
HON 12 Honeywell Internat 40,671 21.82 20.93 15.27 14.28 22.50 19.32
HONIV 13 Honeywell Internat 40,671 20.10 19.29 14.37 13.44 17.03 17.06
000906.SZ 14 Zheshang Developme 31,970 22.06 27.06 24.87 26.81 24.49 25.49
001040.KS 15 CJ Corporation 30,367 15.94 14.18 3.15 2.75 8.78 8.56
BBU 16 Brookfield Busines 27,790 - - 7.66 6.93 11.93 11.18
MMM 17 3M Company 24,825 24.57 26.55 14.47 15.39 15.97 20.13
0392.HK 18 Beijing Enterprise 22,189 4.04 4.04 6.04 5.63 8.13 16.13
0019.HK 19 Swire Pacific Limi 21,981 3.30 3.86 3.58 3.86 23.55 17.13
FJI.F 20 FUJIFILM Holdings 20,533 17.37 15.37 11.21 10.23 17.18 13.09
PST.MI 21 Poste Italiane S.p 19,794 12.05 10.63 28.70 25.65 34.18 27.80

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple12.7110.688.326.9314.3914.61
Full Range Median Multiple15.9414.1811.217.3115.9716.63
Industry Multiple15.9014.9313.8012.8319.0716.78
Market Implied Multiple20.8319.9914.8013.8417.5417.57
Company (HONIV) Multiple20.1019.2914.3713.4417.0317.06
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue6,1296,38810,33411,0508,7208,704
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A85,98076,626125,492127,189
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A115,84680,820139,226144,748
(-) Net Debt25,28525,28525,28525,28525,28525,285
Winsorized Equity Value77,92968,20060,69551,341100,207101,904
Full Range Median Equity Value97,71390,57290,56155,535113,941119,463
(/) Shares Outstanding635635635635635635
Winsorized Fair Value$122.66$107.35$95.54$80.81$157.73$160.40
Full Range Median Fair Value$153.81$142.57$142.55$87.42$179.35$188.04
Current Price$200.99$200.99$200.99$200.99$200.99$200.99
Upside / Downside-38.97%-46.59%-52.47%-59.79%-21.52%-20.19%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$85.87$75.15$66.88$56.57$110.41$112.28
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy