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Multiples Valuation: HCI Group, Inc.

HCI Group, Inc. (HCI)

Industry: Insurance - Property & Casualty Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $179.42 — $349.64
Selected (Average) $256.41
Upside to Live 45.73%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $195.84 — $374.05
Selected (Average) $275.60
Upside to Live 56.63%
Live Price $175.95

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
ARGO 58 Argo Group Interna 1,127 - - - - - 0.38
GODIGIT.NS 59 Go Digit General I 1,118 65.35 65.35 60.24 60.24 58.91 64.50
PRA 60 ProAssurance Corpo 1,099 36.58 36.58 14.94 14.94 68.34 27.02
EG7.IR 61 FBD Holdings plc 1,092 4.35 4.35 10.88 9.94 0.41 0.37
SLDE 62 Slide Insurance Ho 1,047 4.15 4.15 1.15 1.15 0.94 1.19
DGICA 63 Donegal Group Inc. 988 6.88 6.23 4.99 4.55 5.53 4.70
HRTG 64 Heritage Insurance 842 5.21 3.46 1.44 1.05 1.17 1.02
HCI 65 HCI Group, Inc. 817 10.73 7.38 3.93 2.85 3.40 2.88
PLMR 66 Palomar Holdings, 776 17.71 11.35 13.24 8.38 11.18 8.43
2850.TW 67 Shinkong Insurance 679 10.95 9.47 5.72 4.96 5.63 5.07
LMND 68 Lemonade, Inc. 659 - - - - - -
TWR.AX 69 Tower Limited 581 4.67 3.38 4.09 4.09 0.45 0.54
BOW 70 Bowhead Specialty 519 16.87 16.87 8.94 8.94 8.32 9.38
MTI.BK 71 Muang Thai Insuran 460 10.03 9.08 7.70 7.01 6.52 7.03
GBLI 72 Global Indemnity G 442 14.73 11.12 8.18 7.66 5.36 6.46
8715.T 73 Anicom Holdings, I 419 24.51 23.21 11.10 11.04 - 2.58

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple10.039.087.707.015.453.64
Full Range Median Multiple10.959.478.187.665.584.88
Industry Multiple17.0815.7411.7411.0714.409.90
Market Implied Multiple9.846.763.352.432.902.46
Company (HCI) Multiple10.737.383.932.853.402.88
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue204297314432362427
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,4143,0301,9741,556
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,5663,3082,0232,087
(-) Net Debt-956-956-956-956-956-956
Winsorized Equity Value2,0452,6953,3703,9862,9302,512
Full Range Median Equity Value2,2332,8103,5224,2642,9783,043
(/) Shares Outstanding111111111111
Winsorized Fair Value$179.42$236.41$295.61$349.64$257.04$220.33
Full Range Median Fair Value$195.84$246.52$308.94$374.05$261.26$266.96
Current Price$175.95$175.95$175.95$175.95$175.95$175.95
Upside / Downside1.97%34.36%68.01%98.72%46.09%25.22%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$125.59$165.49$206.92$244.75$179.93$154.23
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUYBUYDon’t Buy