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Multiples Valuation: Great-West Lifeco Inc.

Great-West Lifeco Inc. (GWO-PN.TO)

Industry: Insurance - Life Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $0.03 — $23.81
Selected (Average) $16.23
Upside to Live -12.51%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $13.69 — $38.76
Selected (Average) $27.78
Upside to Live 49.77%
Live Price $18.55

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
PRS 8 Prudential Financi 55,708 3.34 3.34 5.29 5.29 1.61 0.59
MFC 9 Manulife Financial 51,998 12.45 11.85 8.34 8.45 6.86 8.03
PHNX.L 10 Phoenix Group Hold 45,202 - - - - 2.52 0.00
CNLI.VI 11 China Life Insuran 42,785 3.50 3.01 7.07 7.07 7.65 2.32
PWF-PZ.TO 12 Power Financial Co 41,681 - - 1.04 1.08 1.11 1.21
2378.HK 13 Prudential plc 35,699 5.72 4.52 1.58 1.58 0.72 1.31
0966.HK 14 China Taiping Insu 28,000 3.79 3.51 1.06 1.06 0.21 0.17
GWO-PN.TO 15 Great-West Lifeco 26,101 3.93 3.60 2.82 2.56 2.70 -
8795.T 16 T&D Holdings, Inc. 23,696 12.45 12.26 -1.02 -1.00 -0.64 -
7181.T 17 Japan Post Insuran 22,301 10.08 10.26 1.59 1.64 0.88 2.23
601336.SS 18 New China Life Ins 19,005 4.97 3.98 7.74 6.10 4.02 6.29
LNC 19 Lincoln National C 18,456 3.65 3.00 1.01 0.84 1.34 0.89
0H68.L 20 Aflac Incorporated 17,962 14.20 14.49 9.03 8.38 6.57 9.80
032830.KS 21 Samsung Life Insur 17,184 12.89 11.02 9.95 8.73 - 30.17
AEL 22 American Equity In 14,458 8.97 10.06 -14.46 -22.02 - -
088350.KS 23 Hanwha Life Insura 13,125 3.12 2.46 14.83 11.34 30.88 22.39

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple4.973.983.443.471.471.31
Full Range Median Multiple5.724.526.185.692.062.23
Industry Multiple7.637.215.715.135.366.57
Market Implied Multiple4.113.762.952.682.82-
Company (GWO-PN.TO) Multiple3.933.602.822.562.70-
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue3,0263,3074,0914,4974,273-263
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A14,07315,5866,285-345
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A25,28325,6058,811-585
(-) Net Debt-362-362-362-362-362-362
Winsorized Equity Value15,03113,15714,43515,9486,64717
Full Range Median Equity Value17,32114,95525,64425,9679,173-223
(/) Shares Outstanding670670670670670670
Winsorized Fair Value$22.44$19.64$21.55$23.81$9.92$0.03
Full Range Median Fair Value$25.86$22.32$38.28$38.76$13.69$-0.33
Current Price$18.55$18.55$18.55$18.55$18.55$18.55
Upside / Downside20.96%5.87%16.16%28.34%-46.51%-99.86%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$15.71$13.75$15.08$16.66$6.95$0.02
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy