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Multiples Valuation: Guild Holdings Company

Guild Holdings Company (GHLD)

Industry: Financial - Mortgages Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $11.09 — $22.05
Selected (Average) $16.04
Upside to Live -19.82%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $21.38 — $29.34
Selected (Average) $25.06
Upside to Live 25.25%
Live Price $20.01

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
LICHSGFIN.BO 4 LIC Housing Financ 3,148 5.63 4.86 40.16 35.04 38.97 35.57
PFSI 5 PennyMac Financial 3,104 12.85 15.67 14.02 17.31 7.40 16.05
OSB.L 6 OSB Group Plc 2,777 3.06 2.10 1.25 1.25 1.50 0.91
EQB.TO 7 EQB Inc. 2,292 11.27 9.97 40.20 44.66 55.07 52.67
COOP 8 Mr. Cooper Group I 2,288 16.75 15.95 23.27 18.95 16.92 22.87
UWMC 9 UWM Holdings Corpo 1,895 777.94 2,052.63 69.67 119.17 242.04 176.50
ECPG 10 Encore Capital Gro 1,561 - - 14.15 15.52 6.83 16.36
GHLD 11 Guild Holdings Com 1,297 9.83 11.96 22.39 26.66 24.29 33.47
WD 12 Walker & Dunlop, I 1,236 24.27 27.27 13.99 14.26 30.05 47.36
LDI 13 loanDepot, Inc. 1,212 - - - - - -
ONIT 14 Onity Group Inc. 1,126 9.37 5.27 1.39 1.58 1.25 1.62
BAJAJHFL.NS 15 Bajaj Housing Fina 1,107 38.81 27.16 57.95 55.80 52.56 64.13
RMC.AX 16 Resimac Group Limi 1,072 4.87 3.42 5.67 2.46 42.21 3.55
DHFL.NS 17 Dewan Housing Fina 1,041 44.59 29.26 3.98 4.02 3.20 3.36
PNBHOUSING.BO 18 PNB Housing Financ 886 10.46 8.01 24.40 18.90 25.68 19.08
MLKRI.PA 19 Well S.A. 824 - - 12.47 12.47 29.24 28.83

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple10.878.9914.0114.8921.3017.72
Full Range Median Multiple12.0612.8214.0816.4227.4620.97
Industry Multiple79.99183.4623.0425.8139.4934.92
Market Implied Multiple9.8612.0022.4126.6924.3133.50
Company (GHLD) Multiple9.8311.9622.3926.6624.2933.47
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue126104199168184133
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,7942,4943,9172,365
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,8102,7505,0502,799
(-) Net Debt3,2283,2283,2283,2283,2283,228
Winsorized Equity Value1,369931-434-734689-863
Full Range Median Equity Value1,5201,328-418-4781,822-429
(/) Shares Outstanding626262626262
Winsorized Fair Value$22.05$14.99$-6.99$-11.81$11.09$-13.89
Full Range Median Fair Value$24.47$21.38$-6.74$-7.69$29.34$-6.91
Current Price$20.01$20.01$20.01$20.01$20.01$20.01
Upside / Downside10.19%-25.07%-134.92%-159.03%-44.58%-169.44%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$15.43$10.50$-4.89$-8.27$7.76$-9.73
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy