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Multiples Valuation: Graham Holdings Company

Graham Holdings Company (GHC)

Industry: Education & Training Services Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $584.11 — $2,992.29
Selected (Average) $1,839.16
Upside to Live 60.95%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $671.26 — $3,032.31
Selected (Average) $1,971.22
Upside to Live 72.50%
Live Price $1,142.71

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
GHC 1 Graham Holdings Co 4,906 6.97 5.42 4.34 3.62 22.66 18.71
KLC 2 KinderCare Learnin 2,692 - - 19.05 19.05 33.96 65.51
9783.T 3 Benesse Holdings, 2,639 38.72 36.66 6.46 6.43 - 11.51
LRN 4 Stride, Inc. 2,475 20.45 13.97 12.10 9.06 23.66 11.96
MH 5 McGraw Hill, Inc. 2,095 - - 9.70 9.70 9.99 20.53
ATGE 6 Adtalem Global Edu 1,833 22.14 22.14 13.70 12.95 17.81 14.41
LAUR 7 Laureate Education 1,584 22.85 22.85 10.17 6.87 16.84 12.81
GEM.AX 8 G8 Education Limit 1,326 7.07 6.71 3.86 3.29 3.08 3.12
9470.T 9 Gakken Holdings Co 1,279 12.21 11.20 4.16 3.75 4.54 6.22
IEL.AX 10 IDP Education Limi 1,264 5.76 5.76 3.10 3.10 39.97 3.60
COGN3.SA 11 Cogna Educação S 1,264 4.55 4.55 4.84 3.40 15.29 7.89
STRA 12 Strategic Educatio 1,256 17.30 17.14 9.06 9.49 13.09 11.97
0667.HK 13 China East Educati 1,182 13.78 13.78 7.07 7.07 6.36 10.65
LOPE 14 Grand Canyon Educa 1,091 28.82 29.73 19.61 20.10 27.52 20.18
HMHC 15 Houghton Mifflin H 1,051 9.54 9.54 8.17 8.17 - 43.12
YDUQ3.SA 16 Yduqs Participaçà 993 14.67 14.84 4.17 3.60 8.18 8.78

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple13.7813.787.076.8713.0911.51
Full Range Median Multiple14.6713.978.177.0715.2911.96
Industry Multiple16.7616.079.018.4016.9516.82
Market Implied Multiple6.765.264.243.5322.1018.24
Company (GHC) Multiple6.975.424.343.6222.6618.71
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue7329411,4011,679269325
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9,89911,5383,5143,744
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A11,43911,8674,1073,892
(-) Net Debt983983983983983983
Winsorized Equity Value10,09312,9698,91610,5552,5322,761
Full Range Median Equity Value10,74413,14210,45610,8843,1242,909
(/) Shares Outstanding444444
Winsorized Fair Value$2,328.80$2,992.29$2,057.25$2,435.34$584.11$637.16
Full Range Median Fair Value$2,478.93$3,032.31$2,412.57$2,511.41$720.85$671.26
Current Price$1,142.71$1,142.71$1,142.71$1,142.71$1,142.71$1,142.71
Upside / Downside103.80%161.86%80.03%113.12%-48.88%-44.24%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$1,630.16$2,094.60$1,440.08$1,704.73$408.88$446.01
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYDon’t BuyDon’t Buy