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Multiples Valuation: Friedman Industries, Incorporated

Friedman Industries, Incorporated (FRD)

Industry: Steel Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $1.38 — $25.49
Selected (Average) $14.56
Upside to Live -24.93%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $3.67 — $28.77
Selected (Average) $12.74
Upside to Live -34.33%
Live Price $19.40

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
007280.KS 160 Korea Steel Co., L 544 17.53 17.53 6.89 5.42 196.50 9.14
9523.SR 161 Group Five Pipe Sa 544 4.85 4.85 3.95 3.95 2.02 4.76
6890.HK 162 KangLi Internation 535 1.50 1.50 1.93 1.93 7.46 2.27
MUKANDLTD.BO 163 Mukand Limited 516 31.56 31.56 6.89 3.22 10.08 5.49
5445.T 164 Tokyo Tekko Co., L 515 4.55 3.95 2.65 2.22 3.11 2.64
SANDUMA.BO 165 The Sandur Mangane 514 4.31 3.18 2.18 1.48 2.94 1.93
5563.T 166 Nippon Denko Co., 513 11.11 11.11 4.59 4.59 10.89 6.38
FRD 167 Friedman Industrie 510 13.35 13.35 11.33 11.33 20.86 16.47
004560.KS 168 Hyundai Bng Steel 507 14.88 15.53 6.42 6.05 5.75 9.67
5014.TWO 169 Chain Chon Industr 494 - - 42.09 51.36 - -
GALLANTT.BO 170 Gallantt Ispat Lim 479 32.09 16.82 21.04 11.65 41.00 11.02
002743.SZ 171 Anhui Fuhuang Stee 477 87.98 120.50 29.75 33.21 32.53 101.94
2034.TW 172 YC Inox Co.,Ltd 471 - - 62.20 73.08 - 79.06
603969.SS 173 Silvery Dragon Pre 467 26.62 22.14 20.20 17.30 18.65 18.39
600784.SS 174 Luyin Investment G 466 20.56 19.08 15.97 16.34 34.88 17.80
INOX.BK 175 POSCO-Thainox Publ 454 36.82 36.82 0.86 0.75 2.18 2.28

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple14.8815.536.424.597.465.93
Full Range Median Multiple17.5316.826.895.4210.087.76
Industry Multiple22.6423.4315.1715.5028.3119.48
Market Implied Multiple11.8211.8210.5010.5019.3515.27
Company (FRD) Multiple13.3513.3511.3311.3320.8616.47
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue111121211215
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A136978687
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A146115116113
(-) Net Debt888888888888
Winsorized Equity Value1701784910-2-1
Full Range Median Equity Value20019259272826
(/) Shares Outstanding777777
Winsorized Fair Value$24.43$25.49$6.97$1.38$-0.25$-0.16
Full Range Median Fair Value$28.77$27.60$8.40$3.92$4.08$3.67
Current Price$19.40$19.40$19.40$19.40$19.40$19.40
Upside / Downside25.91%31.38%-64.10%-92.90%-101.29%-100.82%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$17.10$17.84$4.88$0.96$-0.17$-0.11
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy