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Multiples Valuation: Shift4 Payments, Inc.

Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR)

Industry: Software - Infrastructure Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $41.24 — $342.45
Selected (Average) $124.42
Upside to Live 93.17%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $53.33 — $554.55
Selected (Average) $173.10
Upside to Live 168.74%
Live Price $64.41

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
CPAY 23 Corpay, Inc. 4,315 19.27 17.91 10.78 9.64 11.77 11.27
FLT 24 FLEETCOR Technolog 4,315 19.97 18.56 11.10 9.94 12.12 11.61
CRWV 25 CoreWeave, Inc. Cl 4,307 - - 38.33 38.33 408.72 542.48
SPLK 26 Splunk Inc. 4,216 98.33 98.33 59.71 59.71 14.20 94.11
EEFT 27 Euronet Worldwide, 4,183 12.93 8.28 7.44 6.41 6.69 6.78
KLAR 28 Klarna Group plc 4,016 - - 37.19 37.19 - -
PLTR 29 Palantir Technolog 3,896 393.66 393.66 446.32 446.32 273.25 505.87
FOUR 30 Shift4 Payments, I 3,878 45.41 45.41 12.41 5.61 20.91 31.01
BKKT 31 Bakkt Holdings, In 3,852 - - - - - -
PAGS 32 PagSeguro Digital 3,536 7.01 6.30 6.29 4.68 7.41 5.87
AFRM 33 Affirm Holdings, I 3,459 103.53 103.53 37.58 37.58 120.42 281.29
FFIV 34 F5, Inc. 3,088 26.91 22.88 19.92 17.77 21.30 20.01
OKTA 35 Okta, Inc. 2,840 82.33 82.33 50.10 50.10 172.09 142.63
RXT 36 Rackspace Technolo 2,689 - - 21.38 27.12 - -
WEX 37 WEX Inc. 2,625 19.09 13.21 6.45 5.53 8.05 7.19
DBX 38 Dropbox, Inc. 2,528 15.84 11.04 13.23 10.28 15.00 10.68

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple19.2717.9116.5814.0313.1611.44
Full Range Median Multiple19.9718.5620.6522.4414.6015.81
Industry Multiple72.6270.5554.7054.3389.25136.65
Market Implied Multiple22.4222.426.612.9911.1416.52
Company (FOUR) Multiple45.4145.4112.415.6120.9131.01
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1951957721,708458309
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A12,80523,9586,0333,535
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A15,95138,3396,6924,886
(-) Net Debt739739739739739739
Winsorized Equity Value3,7533,48912,06523,2195,2942,796
Full Range Median Equity Value3,8903,61615,21237,5995,9534,147
(/) Shares Outstanding686868686868
Winsorized Fair Value$55.36$51.46$177.95$342.45$78.08$41.24
Full Range Median Fair Value$57.37$53.33$224.36$554.55$87.80$61.16
Current Price$64.41$64.41$64.41$64.41$64.41$64.41
Upside / Downside-14.06%-20.10%176.28%431.67%21.22%-35.97%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$38.75$36.02$124.57$239.71$54.66$28.87
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUYDon’t BuyDon’t Buy