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Multiples Valuation: Expedia Group, Inc.

Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)

Industry: Travel Services Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $110.56 — $373.07
Selected (Average) $168.78
Upside to Live -40.80%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $117.72 — $383.44
Selected (Average) $188.55
Upside to Live -33.87%
Live Price $285.11

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
BKNG 1 Booking Holdings I 26,039 34.66 26.81 19.22 15.07 12.62 12.49
TUI.L 2 TUI AG 25,498 7.39 7.79 2.94 2.66 - 3.15
MMB.PA 3 Lagardere S.A. 20,893 10.49 14.25 4.11 3.65 3.02 2.51
JET2.L 4 Jet2 plc 19,211 2.73 1.51 1.45 0.87 0.89 1.55
RCL 5 Royal Caribbean Cr 17,437 21.62 21.62 16.08 16.08 15.95 23.60
EXPE 6 Expedia Group, Inc 14,370 19.05 19.05 9.19 9.19 6.19 15.39
ABNB 7 Airbnb, Inc. 11,943 28.69 28.69 23.71 23.71 10.80 25.95
0I50.L 8 Trip.com Group Lim 8,481 11.24 11.24 8.68 2.27 14.49 20.79
VIK 9 Viking Holdings Lt 6,127 24.83 24.83 16.67 16.67 11.09 19.56
8MI.SG 10 Minor Internationa 5,038 12.91 12.91 6.70 4.94 21.48 24.74
TNL 11 Travel + Leisure C 3,967 9.57 9.57 7.85 5.88 8.47 5.70
SABR 12 Sabre Corporation 2,894 - - 13.00 13.00 11.42 12.46
0780.HK 13 Tongcheng Travel H 2,594 16.61 11.50 8.88 6.56 11.99 8.58
TRZ.TO 14 Transat A.T. Inc. 2,477 0.34 0.34 1.85 1.85 13.29 17.35
TRIP 15 Tripadvisor, Inc. 1,891 23.88 23.88 4.62 4.62 3.89 8.14
9726.T 16 KNT-CT Holdings Co 1,841 5.38 5.38 4.07 4.07 8.56 4.99

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple10.8711.376.704.6210.958.58
Full Range Median Multiple12.0812.207.854.9411.2612.46
Industry Multiple15.0214.319.328.1310.5712.77
Market Implied Multiple25.4125.4112.3612.368.3220.69
Company (EXPE) Multiple19.0519.059.199.196.1915.39
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,3881,3882,7912,7914,1441,667
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A18,70112,89345,36514,309
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A21,91213,77846,64720,770
(-) Net Debt-784-784-784-784-784-784
Winsorized Equity Value15,08215,78219,48513,67746,14915,093
Full Range Median Equity Value16,76116,93922,69614,56247,43121,554
(/) Shares Outstanding124124124124124124
Winsorized Fair Value$121.92$127.59$157.52$110.56$373.07$122.02
Full Range Median Fair Value$135.50$136.94$183.47$117.72$383.44$174.24
Current Price$285.11$285.11$285.11$285.11$285.11$285.11
Upside / Downside-57.24%-55.25%-44.75%-61.22%30.85%-57.20%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$85.35$89.31$110.26$77.39$261.15$85.41
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy