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Multiples Valuation: Darden Restaurants, Inc.

Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI)

Industry: Restaurants Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $75.01 — $214.44
Selected (Average) $143.36
Upside to Live -33.20%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $101.99 — $233.95
Selected (Average) $172.01
Upside to Live -19.85%
Live Price $214.62

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
FATAV 1 FAT Brands Inc. Cl 286,845 - - - - - -
XGR2.DE 2 Compass Group PLC 87,175 17.64 16.07 9.84 8.83 10.97 11.13
SBUX 3 Starbucks Corporat 37,184 52.63 45.82 22.16 19.79 31.94 28.40
MCD 4 McDonald's Corpora 26,264 24.81 22.29 18.24 16.69 19.57 19.71
0QKI.L 5 Swisscom AG 17,649 23.36 24.73 5.48 5.13 13.37 17.72
ELIOR.PA 6 Elior Group S.A. 14,329 14.21 18.08 2.81 3.02 3.08 5.28
DRI 7 Darden Restaurants 12,364 21.77 21.77 15.58 8.85 22.03 20.87
6862.HK 8 Haidilao Internati 12,210 8.58 8.58 4.81 4.81 4.20 3.87
0HXW.L 9 Chipotle Mexican G 11,787 34.05 23.43 24.09 18.75 29.65 19.79
SSPG.L 10 SSP Group plc 9,076 - - 3.45 2.80 11.48 5.48
HFG.DE 11 HelloFresh SE 8,243 - - 2.93 2.91 - -
YUM 12 Yum! Brands, Inc. 7,908 30.25 28.49 20.34 18.70 21.74 20.13
7550.T 13 Zensho Holdings Co 7,455 37.49 23.68 14.09 10.85 25.57 14.21
MAB.L 14 Mitchells & Butler 7,117 4.27 3.86 3.07 3.03 4.67 4.07
QSP-UN.TO 15 Restaurant Brands 6,719 22.75 20.59 14.69 13.72 13.15 14.82
QSR 16 Restaurant Brands 6,719 22.75 20.59 14.69 13.72 13.15 14.82

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple22.7520.597.666.9813.1514.21
Full Range Median Multiple23.0621.4411.969.8413.1514.82
Industry Multiple24.4021.3511.4810.2015.5813.80
Market Implied Multiple22.7722.7716.159.1722.8421.64
Company (DRI) Multiple21.7721.7715.588.8522.0320.87
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,1001,1001,9193,3781,3571,432
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A14,69823,58117,84720,357
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A22,96033,24717,84721,220
(-) Net Debt5,9445,9445,9445,9445,9445,944
Winsorized Equity Value25,02522,6508,75317,63711,90314,413
Full Range Median Equity Value25,36423,58417,01627,30211,90315,276
(/) Shares Outstanding117117117117117117
Winsorized Fair Value$214.44$194.09$75.01$151.13$101.99$123.50
Full Range Median Fair Value$217.34$202.09$145.81$233.95$101.99$130.90
Current Price$214.62$214.62$214.62$214.62$214.62$214.62
Upside / Downside-0.08%-9.57%-65.05%-29.58%-52.48%-42.46%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$150.11$135.86$52.50$105.79$71.39$86.45
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy