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Multiples Valuation: Capital One Financial Corporation

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

Industry: Financial - Credit Services Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $18.44 — $307.35
Selected (Average) $95.35
Upside to Live -60.13%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $23.42 — $309.10
Selected (Average) $101.63
Upside to Live -57.50%
Live Price $239.14

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
MCVT 1 Mill City Ventures 1,013,948 - - 5.07 5.07 - -
AXP 2 American Express C 78,641 21.81 17.38 15.50 12.80 15.40 14.01
BNH 3 Brookfield Finance 74,370 92.90 54.47 10.75 9.20 19.30 16.19
COF 4 Capital One Financ 63,342 95.93 94.65 21.61 20.92 7.53 79.93
V 5 Visa Inc. 40,000 32.97 29.16 25.74 23.08 27.21 25.07
PYPL 6 PayPal Holdings, I 32,862 13.20 12.07 9.05 8.48 11.05 9.84
0R2Z.L 7 Mastercard Incorpo 31,474 36.04 31.02 27.07 23.23 25.80 25.05
ASAI.L 8 ASA International 27,031 0.07 0.07 0.37 0.37 - -
DFS 9 Discover Financial 22,148 8.97 7.63 5.81 4.86 4.25 4.89
SYF 10 Synchrony Financia 19,269 7.47 6.17 4.84 4.07 4.35 4.42
8591.T 11 ORIX Corporation 17,498 8.40 7.43 8.67 7.89 9.40 15.14
KKRS 12 KKR Group Finance 16,538 2.70 1.88 0.29 0.19 0.16 0.06
ALLY 13 Ally Financial Inc 15,316 19.22 20.02 13.37 14.61 10.99 28.04
8593.T 14 Mitsubishi HC Capi 13,803 10.82 8.79 25.10 18.31 55.13 38.93
3360.HK 15 Far East Horizon L 9,475 3.11 2.69 23.33 11.35 5.41 5.52
BAJFINANCE.BO 16 Bajaj Finance Limi 8,103 33.90 25.59 36.90 28.00 35.41 29.05

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.908.219.058.4810.9914.01
Full Range Median Multiple12.0110.4310.759.2011.0515.14
Industry Multiple20.8316.0314.1211.4317.2216.63
Market Implied Multiple107.92106.4824.3923.618.5090.20
Company (COF) Multiple95.9394.6521.6120.927.5379.93
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,4161,4356,1106,31217,5281,652
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A55,30953,539192,59823,150
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A65,69158,074193,71625,009
(-) Net Debt-3,797-3,797-3,797-3,797-3,797-3,797
Winsorized Equity Value14,01211,78359,10657,336196,39526,947
Full Range Median Equity Value17,00714,96669,48861,871197,51328,806
(/) Shares Outstanding639639639639639639
Winsorized Fair Value$21.93$18.44$92.50$89.73$307.35$42.17
Full Range Median Fair Value$26.62$23.42$108.74$96.82$309.10$45.08
Current Price$239.14$239.14$239.14$239.14$239.14$239.14
Upside / Downside-90.83%-92.29%-61.32%-62.48%28.52%-82.37%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$15.35$12.91$64.75$62.81$215.14$29.52
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy