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Multiples Valuation: The Carlyle Group Inc.

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG)

Industry: Asset Management Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $9.89 — $10.31
Selected (Average) $10.10
Upside to Live -84.61%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $11.51 — $15.78
Selected (Average) $13.65
Upside to Live -79.21%
Live Price $65.62

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
012630.KS 69 HDC HOLDINGS CO.,L 4,692 3.45 2.90 4.67 3.78 5.64 6.63
138040.KS 70 Meritz Financial G 4,397 8.59 6.26 11.86 10.03 10.97 10.12
BCSSX 71 Brown Capital Mana 4,336 - - 2.40 2.05 2.21 2.37
FMIJX 72 FMI International 4,282 19.90 19.89 11.92 11.73 15.36 19.87
FMIYX 73 FMI International 4,282 - - 4.58 4.50 5.90 7.63
FHLKX 74 Fidelity Health Sa 4,240 - - 1.07 1.00 2.59 1.94
ABDN.L 75 Abrdn Plc 3,841 5.28 5.61 3.82 5.32 1.75 4.29
CG 76 The Carlyle Group 3,691 34.13 34.13 27.74 27.74 93.19 33.22
ACSLX 77 American Century S 3,666 - - 2.40 2.04 1.89 2.11
IPOBU 78 Social Capital Hed 3,635 - - - - - -
IPOCU 79 Social Capital Hed 3,635 - - - - - -
EMG.L 80 Man Group Limited 3,611 5.38 5.28 4.01 4.01 3.32 4.10
2799.HK 81 China CITIC Financ 3,565 4.86 4.89 31.68 31.68 6.96 22.79
JHG 82 Janus Henderson Gr 3,562 12.84 8.93 8.07 6.22 9.10 6.00
STOR-B.ST 83 Storskogen Group A 3,544 15.25 12.75 7.12 5.49 12.87 8.68
0QKE.L 84 Vontobel Holding A 3,517 8.92 8.25 2.18 1.46 4.98 2.46

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple5.385.614.014.014.984.29
Full Range Median Multiple8.596.264.584.505.646.00
Industry Multiple9.398.317.376.876.437.62
Market Implied Multiple35.7235.7228.6528.6596.2534.31
Company (CG) Multiple34.1334.1327.7427.7493.1933.22
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue6626621,1531,153343963
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A4,6214,6211,7104,134
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A5,2775,1921,9365,780
(-) Net Debt9,4049,4049,4049,4049,4049,404
Winsorized Equity Value3,5613,711-4,784-4,784-7,695-5,270
Full Range Median Equity Value5,6844,144-4,128-4,212-7,468-3,624
(/) Shares Outstanding360360360360360360
Winsorized Fair Value$9.89$10.31$-13.28$-13.28$-21.37$-14.63
Full Range Median Fair Value$15.78$11.51$-11.46$-11.70$-20.74$-10.06
Current Price$65.62$65.62$65.62$65.62$65.62$65.62
Upside / Downside-84.93%-84.29%-120.24%-120.24%-132.56%-122.30%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$6.92$7.21$-9.30$-9.30$-14.96$-10.24
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy