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Multiples Valuation: Constellation Energy Corporation

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG)

Industry: Renewable Utilities Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $98.75 — $219.64
Selected (Average) $158.16
Upside to Live -48.60%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $121.89 — $250.68
Selected (Average) $179.77
Upside to Live -41.58%
Live Price $307.71

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
RNW 1 ReNew Energy Globa 164,218 25.93 25.93 9.90 8.45 12.08 13.74
9501.T 2 Tokyo Electric Pow 43,316 - - 11.03 9.14 25.73 27.73
RAIZ4.SA 3 Raízen S.A. 43,238 - - 15.21 13.91 15.90 42.40
GEV 4 GE Vernova Inc. 37,670 98.15 98.15 59.09 59.09 108.82 115.44
9503.T 5 The Kansai Electri 27,036 5.56 4.37 5.95 5.34 9.15 10.39
CEG 6 Constellation Ener 25,455 37.60 30.54 18.56 17.51 18.18 21.64
600795.SS 7 GD Power Developme 24,203 11.98 9.67 10.23 10.23 12.62 17.68
CEZ.PR 8 CEZ, a. s. 16,216 24.03 20.88 6.12 5.12 14.43 9.35
9506.T 9 Tohoku Electric Po 16,074 3.27 2.79 6.57 6.01 9.92 10.61
ORSTED.CO 10 Ørsted A/S 10,106 9.65 9.38 6.43 6.27 8.53 12.33
9504.T 11 The Chugoku Electr 9,723 2.72 2.20 10.21 8.99 14.19 16.24
600886.SS 12 SDIC Power Holding 7,664 15.88 15.40 9.47 9.17 9.91 14.08
000539.SZ 13 Guangdong Electric 7,431 297.79 524.69 18.72 19.30 23.39 122.46
E0E.F 14 Ariston Holding N. 6,555 10.59 10.59 4.45 4.45 6.28 7.31
ENGI11.SA 15 Energisa S.A. 6,481 35.22 30.73 13.54 11.10 20.63 19.25
BEP-PM.TO 16 Brookfield Renewab 6,300 - - 10.85 9.16 55.89 45.67

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.2810.139.908.9912.6214.08
Full Range Median Multiple13.9312.9910.219.1414.1916.24
Industry Multiple45.0662.9013.1812.3823.1632.31
Market Implied Multiple35.1628.5517.4516.4617.0920.35
Company (CEG) Multiple37.6030.5418.5617.5118.1821.64
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue2,7393,3736,0316,3916,1565,171
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A59,69057,45277,66572,803
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A61,55558,39387,38083,960
(-) Net Debt8,9178,9178,9178,9178,9178,917
Winsorized Equity Value30,90734,17850,77348,53568,74863,886
Full Range Median Equity Value38,15143,83052,63849,47678,46375,043
(/) Shares Outstanding313313313313313313
Winsorized Fair Value$98.75$109.19$162.21$155.06$219.64$204.11
Full Range Median Fair Value$121.89$140.03$168.17$158.07$250.68$239.75
Current Price$307.71$307.71$307.71$307.71$307.71$307.71
Upside / Downside-67.91%-64.51%-47.28%-49.61%-28.62%-33.67%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$69.12$76.44$113.55$108.54$153.75$142.88
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy