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Multiples Valuation: Casey's General Stores, Inc.

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY)

Industry: Specialty Retail Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $278.28 — $695.40
Selected (Average) $371.26
Upside to Live -42.03%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $342.92 — $786.04
Selected (Average) $433.98
Upside to Live -32.23%
Live Price $640.41

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
DHER.DE 14 Delivery Hero SE 28,507 - - 926.98 926.98 458.56 -
CEC1.DE 15 Ceconomy AG 26,802 573.17 573.17 3.44 3.57 - 41.05
0IUX.L 16 Genuine Parts Comp 24,061 23.85 23.85 15.08 12.01 18.88 17.58
CURY.L 17 Currys plc 23,315 5.12 3.28 2.63 2.04 0.13 0.24
FNAC.PA 18 Fnac Darty S.A. 20,272 7.33 5.91 5.16 4.17 - 9.19
MUSA 19 Murphy USA Inc. 19,351 15.68 14.96 10.27 9.60 12.51 13.51
CVNA 20 Carvana Co. 18,266 83.49 83.49 26.43 26.43 23.14 29.57
CASY 21 Casey's General St 16,970 31.39 27.76 13.79 12.25 15.35 18.03
TSCO 22 Tractor Supply Com 15,399 27.14 25.16 17.99 16.32 25.92 22.06
4755.T 23 Rakuten Group, Inc 15,336 - - 4.29 4.29 25.54 13.99
DKS 24 DICK'S Sporting Go 14,883 18.45 15.15 14.85 12.93 24.51 14.40
FRAS.L 25 Frasers Group plc 13,743 3.70 3.34 2.47 2.05 4.65 4.13
ZAL.DE 26 Zalando SE 13,591 26.59 25.08 7.79 7.04 33.28 16.15
JBH.AX 27 JB Hi-Fi Limited 13,304 13.39 10.48 7.51 5.83 9.47 6.29
CHWY 28 Chewy, Inc. 12,584 66.07 66.07 39.86 39.86 51.70 66.72
JET.L 29 Just Eat Takeaway. 12,350 - - - - - -

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple17.0715.057.656.4321.0113.99
Full Range Median Multiple21.1519.509.038.3223.8314.40
Industry Multiple72.0070.8377.4876.6557.3619.61
Market Implied Multiple39.1734.6517.3415.4119.3022.67
Company (CASY) Multiple31.3927.7613.7912.2515.3518.03
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue6076861,3301,4971,1951,017
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A10,1789,63125,10214,233
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A12,01412,45728,46814,650
(-) Net Debt-719-719-719-719-719-719
Winsorized Equity Value10,36110,33310,89710,35025,82214,952
Full Range Median Equity Value12,84013,38212,73313,17729,18815,369
(/) Shares Outstanding373737373737
Winsorized Fair Value$279.03$278.28$293.47$278.73$695.40$402.68
Full Range Median Fair Value$345.78$360.39$342.92$354.87$786.04$413.90
Current Price$640.41$640.41$640.41$640.41$640.41$640.41
Upside / Downside-56.43%-56.55%-54.18%-56.48%8.59%-37.12%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$195.32$194.79$205.43$195.11$486.78$281.87
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy