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Multiples Valuation: BNP Paribas S.A.

BNP Paribas S.A. (BNP.DE)

Industry: Banks - Regional Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $159.36 — $683.16
Selected (Average) $358.50
Upside to Live 311.22%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $161.67 — $1,190.37
Selected (Average) $504.41
Upside to Live 478.59%
Live Price $87.18

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
T.ME 1 IPJSC T-Technologi 615,465 5.71 4.37 - - 1.77 1.41
TCSG.ME 2 TCS Group Holding 402,592 5.50 4.15 19.28 19.95 989.30 3.69
BBAS11.SA 3 Banco do Brasil S. 304,465 9.83 10.17 54.85 62.59 102.48 16.93
BNP.DE 4 BNP Paribas S.A. 160,720 3.87 3.87 6.51 6.51 5.16 2.50
SBID.L 5 State Bank of Indi 73,636 101.42 79.47 73.80 58.21 73.31 58.21
DB 6 Deutsche Bank AG 72,494 8.53 8.53 4.95 4.95 4.19 4.95
ITUB3.SA 7 Itaú Unibanco Hol 67,936 9.60 8.09 20.31 11.20 20.73 23.06
BBAS3.SA 8 Banco do Brasil S. 55,145 9.83 10.17 54.85 62.59 102.48 16.93
HDFCBANK.BO 9 HDFC Bank Limited 53,575 10.06 8.42 5.89 4.28 9.29 8.61
8301.T 10 Bank of Japan 52,267 0.01 0.00 37.07 0.40 46.71 12.43
LLD.DE 11 Lloyds Banking Gro 50,930 13.10 11.05 15.57 13.96 18.25 12.56
XBBDC.MC 12 Banco Bradesco S.A 49,849 8.31 8.31 28.25 28.25 42.76 38.44
IES.DE 13 Intesa Sanpaolo S. 49,352 9.46 8.21 12.26 10.25 11.70 11.42
600036.SS 14 China Merchants Ba 48,472 7.80 7.09 7.95 7.95 1.99 1.34
600000.SS 15 Shanghai Pudong De 46,515 7.37 7.56 65.85 68.40 100.64 68.40
601166.SS 16 Industrial Bank Co 46,311 5.44 5.22 46.27 44.15 44.85 44.30

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple8.318.0919.8012.5820.7312.43
Full Range Median Multiple8.538.2124.2816.9642.7612.56
Industry Multiple14.1312.0531.9428.37104.7021.51
Market Implied Multiple4.424.426.986.985.532.68
Company (BNP.DE) Multiple3.873.876.516.515.162.50
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue26,05126,05131,05831,05839,18180,805
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A614,842390,811812,3641,004,755
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A754,155526,6811,675,3961,015,174
(-) Net Debt101,458101,458101,458101,458101,458101,458
Winsorized Equity Value216,441210,713513,384289,353710,906903,297
Full Range Median Equity Value222,331213,770652,696425,2231,573,937913,716
(/) Shares Outstanding1,3221,3221,3221,3221,3221,322
Winsorized Fair Value$163.69$159.36$388.27$218.84$537.66$683.16
Full Range Median Fair Value$168.15$161.67$493.64$321.60$1,190.37$691.04
Current Price$87.18$87.18$87.18$87.18$87.18$87.18
Upside / Downside87.77%82.80%345.37%151.02%516.72%683.63%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$114.59$111.55$271.79$153.19$376.36$478.22
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY