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Multiples Valuation: Armstrong World Industries, Inc.

Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI)

Industry: Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $98.13 — $368.24
Selected (Average) $169.26
Upside to Live -13.70%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $109.88 — $415.70
Selected (Average) $192.84
Upside to Live -1.67%
Live Price $196.12

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
108670.KS 34 LX Hausys, Ltd. 2,238 - - 4.51 4.85 10.03 20.22
LAMOSA.MX 35 Grupo Lamosa, S.A. 1,947 112.51 97.21 15.29 12.87 16.27 13.54
FRTA 36 Forterra, Inc. 1,858 13.70 13.70 8.38 7.38 12.41 9.16
NX 37 Quanex Building Pr 1,838 - - - - 1.00 10.32
TYMN.L 38 Tyman plc 1,837 7.18 5.15 3.68 2.69 4.85 5.27
PURMO.HE 39 Purmo Group Oyj 1,772 - - 6.36 6.36 5.99 11.50
2240.SR 40 Advanced Building 1,695 24.08 24.08 12.42 10.37 13.10 41.11
AWI 41 Armstrong World In 1,600 27.73 27.73 15.59 3.85 18.10 22.30
AZEK 42 The AZEK Company I 1,520 46.61 46.61 20.08 17.19 23.07 8.83
5930.T 43 Bunka Shutter Co., 1,486 11.80 10.29 5.08 4.49 9.35 8.32
UPONOR.HE 44 Uponor Oyj 1,434 29.36 27.99 14.09 13.29 9.70 10.88
LIAB.ST 45 Lindab Internation 1,401 27.96 28.04 9.87 8.93 37.38 39.21
APOG 46 Apogee Enterprises 1,392 21.19 21.49 7.76 7.07 9.85 16.61
BLUESTARCO.BO 47 Blue Star Limited 1,354 70.81 37.94 46.50 31.24 70.67 30.32
344820.KS 48 KCC GLASS Corporat 1,324 - - 5.56 5.56 - -
AAON 49 AAON, Inc. 1,316 76.00 71.93 36.56 32.84 43.69 54.47

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple24.0824.088.077.239.9411.19
Full Range Median Multiple27.9627.999.138.1611.2212.52
Industry Multiple40.1134.9514.0111.7919.1019.98
Market Implied Multiple27.7427.7415.603.8518.1122.31
Company (AWI) Multiple27.7327.7315.593.8518.1022.30
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue3053055442,204469381
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A4,39415,9284,6614,259
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A4,97017,9785,2604,767
(-) Net Debt202020202020
Winsorized Equity Value7,3557,3554,37415,9084,6414,239
Full Range Median Equity Value8,5408,5494,95017,9585,2404,747
(/) Shares Outstanding434343434343
Winsorized Fair Value$170.25$170.25$101.25$368.24$107.43$98.13
Full Range Median Fair Value$197.69$197.89$114.58$415.70$121.30$109.88
Current Price$196.12$196.12$196.12$196.12$196.12$196.12
Upside / Downside-13.19%-13.19%-48.37%87.76%-45.22%-49.97%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$119.17$119.17$70.87$257.77$75.20$68.69
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYDon’t BuyDon’t Buy