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Multiples Valuation: Astrana Health, Inc.

Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH)

Industry: Medical - Care Facilities Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $2.19 — $14.02
Selected (Average) $6.69
Upside to Live -75.19%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $4.28 — $26.00
Selected (Average) $13.11
Upside to Live -51.35%
Live Price $26.95

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
ACHC 27 Acadia Healthcare 3,266 19.09 18.83 9.43 9.11 9.00 12.51
AMEH 28 Apollo Medical Hol 3,232 205.34 243.50 34.08 34.08 9.53 22.53
BKDT 29 Brookdale Senior L 3,221 - - 59.30 67.76 - -
300015.SZ 30 Aier Eye Hospital 3,146 35.43 31.16 22.51 20.35 19.40 22.27
BKD 31 Brookdale Senior L 3,118 - - 6.53 6.53 - -
CANO 32 Cano Health, Inc. 3,102 - - - - - -
NTC.JO 33 Netcare Limited 3,073 5.36 5.74 2.54 2.44 4.88 3.57
ASTH 34 Astrana Health, In 2,896 146.22 146.22 18.67 18.67 26.28 33.19
MODV 35 ModivCare Inc. 2,754 - - 5,214.90 12,482.94 - -
1515.HK 36 China Resources Me 2,750 6.18 5.35 1.95 1.40 4.96 2.99
AMN 37 AMN Healthcare Ser 2,717 - - - - 45.68 -
APOLLOHOSP.BO 38 Apollo Hospitals E 2,575 63.72 40.03 35.76 28.18 39.14 17.79
CHE 39 Chemed Corporation 2,531 23.34 23.21 14.88 14.53 21.80 18.25
AMED 40 Amedisys, Inc. 2,402 21.59 20.93 20.32 21.91 18.35 37.89
OSH 41 Oak Street Health, 2,399 - - - - - -
AEVS.SW 42 Aevis Victoria S.A 2,348 - - 9.33 9.17 2.35 6.48

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple20.3419.8812.1511.859.5312.51
Full Range Median Multiple22.4722.0717.6017.4413.9417.79
Industry Multiple47.5148.59452.631,058.2017.5116.03
Market Implied Multiple139.00139.0018.0418.0425.3932.05
Company (ASTH) Multiple146.22146.2218.6718.6726.2833.19
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue10101081087761
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,3151,282733761
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,9041,8871,0711,083
(-) Net Debt625625625625625625
Winsorized Equity Value194190690657108136
Full Range Median Equity Value2142111,2791,262446458
(/) Shares Outstanding494949494949
Winsorized Fair Value$3.94$3.86$14.02$13.35$2.19$2.76
Full Range Median Fair Value$4.36$4.28$26.00$25.65$9.08$9.31
Current Price$26.95$26.95$26.95$26.95$26.95$26.95
Upside / Downside-85.37%-85.70%-47.98%-50.46%-91.88%-89.74%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$2.76$2.70$9.81$9.35$1.53$1.93
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy