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Multiples Valuation: Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO)

Industry: Specialty Retail Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $49.80 — $92.97
Selected (Average) $64.63
Upside to Live 10.27%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $54.12 — $115.93
Selected (Average) $75.83
Upside to Live 29.38%
Live Price $58.61

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
BBWI 45 Bath & Body Works, 7,354 7.41 7.41 6.61 5.74 15.41 5.98
PTG-R.BK 46 PTG Energy Public 7,193 16.81 18.66 6.83 6.68 30.31 29.48
MGLU3.SA 47 Magazine Luiza S.A 6,944 19.25 18.96 8.02 7.03 7.78 7.26
002416.SZ 48 Shenzhen Aisidi CO 6,775 38.41 40.57 20.63 21.83 14.18 21.67
ODP 49 The ODP Corporatio 6,533 - - 9.39 9.39 9.60 42.11
4200.SR 50 Aldrees Petroleum 6,426 30.78 29.14 13.42 11.97 27.10 25.50
3048.T 51 Bic Camera Inc. 6,198 13.91 11.13 7.29 6.36 7.76 8.49
ASO 52 Academy Sports and 6,012 8.47 7.71 6.64 6.14 10.68 7.92
WOOF 53 Petco Health and W 5,998 - - 6.60 6.74 17.48 19.47
9843.T 54 Nitori Holdings Co 5,960 19.96 19.56 9.92 9.31 11.20 12.98
7419.T 55 Nojima Corporation 5,930 10.44 10.83 5.72 6.12 7.31 9.05
MVID.ME 56 PJSC M.video 5,594 - - 0.70 0.68 179.28 1.37
SUL.AX 57 Super Retail Group 5,251 6.96 5.92 3.63 2.95 6.39 4.82
BHIA3.SA 58 Grupo Casas Bahia 5,199 - - 8.95 8.77 12.38 11.56
SMWH.L 59 WH Smith PLC 5,086 20.89 24.20 4.77 3.72 9.77 6.15
2730.T 60 EDION Corporation 4,992 14.76 14.97 8.57 8.47 15.80 11.65

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple14.7614.976.836.6811.209.05
Full Range Median Multiple16.8118.667.296.7412.3811.56
Industry Multiple18.1418.308.077.7224.7814.50
Market Implied Multiple10.379.447.747.1712.469.24
Company (ASO) Multiple8.477.716.646.1410.687.92
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue377414646698402542
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A4,4174,6644,4984,903
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A4,7144,7054,9736,266
(-) Net Debt1,0981,0981,0981,0981,0981,098
Winsorized Equity Value5,5596,1963,3193,5663,3993,804
Full Range Median Equity Value6,3327,7263,6153,6073,8755,168
(/) Shares Outstanding676767676767
Winsorized Fair Value$83.41$92.97$49.80$53.51$51.00$57.08
Full Range Median Fair Value$95.00$115.93$54.25$54.12$58.14$77.54
Current Price$58.61$58.61$58.61$58.61$58.61$58.61
Upside / Downside42.32%58.62%-15.03%-8.71%-12.98%-2.60%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$58.39$65.08$34.86$37.45$35.70$39.96
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy