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Multiples Valuation: Alupar Investimento S.A.

Alupar Investimento S.A. (ALUP11.SA)

Industry: Renewable Utilities Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $45.03 — $192.34
Selected (Average) $94.82
Upside to Live 190.50%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $70.96 — $218.65
Selected (Average) $107.26
Upside to Live 228.60%
Live Price $32.64

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
NHPC.BO 60 NHPC Limited 1,241 27.34 26.33 18.97 18.40 20.28 26.42
1250.HK 61 Shandong Hi-Speed 1,188 5.75 3.47 4.01 1.74 6.74 4.17
EE 62 Excelerate Energy, 1,185 37.15 37.15 -220.04 -220.04 -240.20 -326.66
HLZ.MC 63 Holaluz-Clidom, S. 1,080 - - - - - -
ORA 64 Ormat Technologies 944 43.78 39.26 10.65 9.96 - 48.39
AKSEN.IS 65 Aksa Enerji Üreti 914 23.00 17.52 9.58 6.56 8.72 6.79
FKR.MI 66 Falck Renewables S 834 - - 30.66 28.12 10.92 31.37
ALUP11.SA 67 Alupar Investiment 789 9.06 8.06 6.92 6.58 9.17 7.88
OX2.ST 68 OX2 AB (publ) 789 34.25 34.25 19.97 19.97 - 29.46
000591.SZ 69 CECEP Solar Energy 762 16.78 16.82 12.80 13.06 14.41 25.49
3868.HK 70 Xinyi Energy Holdi 731 5.47 5.47 3.97 3.97 5.70 5.70
INE.TO 71 Innergex Renewable 722 60.18 60.18 12.35 11.21 30.92 32.73
600032.SS 72 Zhejiang Provincia 696 33.02 30.33 15.64 13.78 16.89 42.43
JNS 73 Janus Capital Grou 673 16.49 16.15 8.25 8.25 10.80 9.60
601016.SS 74 CECEP Wind-power C 657 22.77 21.62 12.43 11.59 38.95 31.05
000537.SZ 75 China Green Electr 656 20.93 25.87 24.40 25.82 31.82 52.99

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple22.7721.6212.3511.2110.9226.42
Full Range Median Multiple23.0025.8712.4311.5914.4129.46
Industry Multiple26.6925.7314.1313.2717.8326.66
Market Implied Multiple9.258.226.986.659.257.95
Company (ALUP11.SA) Multiple9.068.066.926.589.177.88
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue211237588618444516
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A7,2646,9234,84513,640
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A7,3107,1586,39315,211
(-) Net Debt2,1572,1572,1572,1572,1572,157
Winsorized Equity Value4,7985,1235,1074,7662,68811,483
Full Range Median Equity Value4,8466,1295,1535,0024,23713,054
(/) Shares Outstanding606060606060
Winsorized Fair Value$80.36$85.81$85.55$79.83$45.03$192.34
Full Range Median Fair Value$81.17$102.66$86.31$83.77$70.96$218.65
Current Price$32.64$32.64$32.64$32.64$32.64$32.64
Upside / Downside146.20%162.91%162.09%144.58%37.96%489.28%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$56.25$60.07$59.88$55.88$31.52$134.64
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYDon’t BuyBUY