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Multiples Valuation: PT AKR Corporindo Tbk

PT AKR Corporindo Tbk (AKRA.JK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $1,051.91 — $2,183.36
Selected (Average) $1,467.25
Upside to Live 17.38%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $1,301.24 — $2,545.41
Selected (Average) $1,971.68
Upside to Live 57.73%
Live Price $1,250.00

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
3042.KL 50 Petron Malaysia Re 3,394 16.88 16.88 4.03 4.03 4.40 12.46
VTNR 51 Vertex Energy, Inc 3,197 - - - - - -
4324.KL 52 Hengyuan Refining 3,179 - - 15.31 15.31 5.62 -
NTI 53 Northern Tier Ener 3,111 17.46 17.46 5.77 5.77 19.02 10.78
ELIN.AT 54 Elinoil Hellenic P 3,106 5.46 4.27 4.63 3.91 11.33 4.95
ZEL.AX 55 Z Energy Limited 2,880 - - 8.17 9.17 41.23 61.46
AE 56 Adams Resources & 2,784 - - 4.72 4.70 - -
AKRA.JK 57 PT AKR Corporindo 2,539 9.96 8.02 6.42 5.14 10.39 6.74
000723.SZ 58 Shanxi Meijin Ener 2,503 - - 113.06 166.21 708.79 -
SGP-R.BK 59 Siamgas and Petroc 2,422 48.32 67.86 10.54 10.23 - 30.24
2337.HK 60 United Strength Po 2,125 6.43 6.43 5.34 5.34 50.81 6.49
8132.T 61 Sinanen Holdings C 2,035 20.47 18.76 8.12 8.18 20.56 12.32
DRAL.TA 62 Dor Alon Energy In 1,971 8.77 6.85 8.06 7.35 30.28 29.72
ORL.TA 63 Oil Refineries Ltd 1,853 - - 5.00 3.80 5.47 19.15
SGU 64 Star Group, L.P. 1,784 7.53 7.32 4.48 4.31 - 5.51
VVV 65 Valvoline Inc. 1,710 22.04 23.91 12.33 12.95 18.19 16.14

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple8.777.325.555.5518.1912.32
Full Range Median Multiple16.8816.886.916.5619.0212.46
Industry Multiple17.0418.8614.9718.6683.2419.02
Market Implied Multiple10.298.296.635.3110.746.97
Company (AKRA.JK) Multiple9.968.026.425.1410.396.74
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue144178217271134206
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,2051,5052,4372,543
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,5001,7782,5482,572
(-) Net Debt-39-39-39-39-39-39
Winsorized Equity Value1,2591,3041,2441,5442,4762,582
Full Range Median Equity Value2,4253,0101,5391,8172,5872,611
(/) Shares Outstanding111111
Winsorized Fair Value$1,065.03$1,103.10$1,051.91$1,306.03$2,094.08$2,183.36
Full Range Median Fair Value$2,051.11$2,545.41$1,301.24$1,536.36$2,187.98$2,208.00
Current Price$1,250.00$1,250.00$1,250.00$1,250.00$1,250.00$1,250.00
Upside / Downside-14.80%-11.75%-15.85%4.48%67.53%74.67%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$745.52$772.17$736.33$914.22$1,465.86$1,528.35
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUY