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Multiples Valuation: Argan, Inc.

Argan, Inc. (AGX)

Industry: Engineering & Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $63.10 — $124.21
Selected (Average) $92.40
Upside to Live -75.92%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $70.52 — $213.21
Selected (Average) $117.08
Upside to Live -69.48%
Live Price $383.66

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
ASHOKA.BO 199 Ashoka Buildcon Li 976 4.33 2.97 2.34 2.13 2.74 1.94
002116.SZ 200 China Haisum Engin 972 13.23 13.23 4.10 4.10 4.75 4.12
AB9.DE 201 ABO Energy GmbH & 964 6.65 4.80 5.53 4.29 3.68 2.95
3703.TW 202 Continental Holdin 946 30.64 33.63 27.12 26.39 46.55 70.93
SLND 203 Southland Holdings 935 - - 18,719.44 18,719.44 - -
004960.KS 204 HANSHIN Engineerin 929 6.64 9.37 6.26 6.56 8.01 16.15
ERB.WA 205 Erbud S.A. 925 - - 13.80 15.57 12.88 476.14
AGX 206 Argan, Inc. 915 35.31 20.07 30.59 18.10 30.10 13.11
SXE.AX 207 Southern Cross Ele 894 9.03 9.03 4.25 3.31 4.27 3.40
1954.T 208 Nippon Koei Co., L 884 9.99 9.05 6.48 5.64 3.06 9.89
035890.KQ 209 Seohee Constructio 875 2.70 2.56 1.29 1.17 2.02 1.36
600491.SS 210 Long Yuan Construc 870 - - 24.54 26.64 95.79 -
GNP.AX 211 GenusPlus Group Li 860 13.50 13.50 6.90 6.90 5.50 8.82
1879.T 212 Shinnihon Corporat 855 7.90 7.25 1.78 1.64 2.50 1.70
000628.SZ 213 ChengDu Hi-Tech De 851 510.54 685.65 75.32 74.05 105.93 210.00
TDSA.LS 214 Teixeira Duarte, S 850 2.24 1.01 10.72 11.89 42.00 13.66

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple7.288.146.265.644.514.12
Full Range Median Multiple8.469.046.486.565.128.82
Industry Multiple51.4566.001,260.661,260.6524.2663.16
Market Implied Multiple44.2425.1438.9323.0338.3016.68
Company (AGX) Multiple35.3120.0730.5918.1030.1013.11
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue120211128217131300
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A8041,2245891,235
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A8321,4246692,642
(-) Net Debt-306-306-306-306-306-306
Winsorized Equity Value8731,7181,1101,5308951,541
Full Range Median Equity Value1,0151,9071,1381,7319752,949
(/) Shares Outstanding141414141414
Winsorized Fair Value$63.10$124.21$80.25$110.63$64.73$111.46
Full Range Median Fair Value$73.40$137.87$82.32$125.14$70.52$213.21
Current Price$383.66$383.66$383.66$383.66$383.66$383.66
Upside / Downside-83.55%-67.63%-79.08%-71.16%-83.13%-70.95%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$44.17$86.95$56.17$77.44$45.31$78.02
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy