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Multiples Valuation: Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.

Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (ADS)

Industry: Financial - Credit Services Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $40.92 — $295.49
Selected (Average) $166.03
Upside to Live 192.30%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $53.51 — $352.05
Selected (Average) $185.75
Upside to Live 227.02%
Live Price $56.80

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
ALLY 13 Ally Financial Inc 15,316 19.22 20.02 13.37 14.61 10.99 28.04
8593.T 14 Mitsubishi HC Capi 13,803 10.82 8.79 25.10 18.31 55.13 38.93
3360.HK 15 Far East Horizon L 9,475 3.11 2.69 23.33 11.35 5.41 5.52
BAJFINANCE.BO 16 Bajaj Finance Limi 8,103 33.90 25.59 36.90 28.00 35.41 29.05
SC 17 Santander Consumer 7,105 4.14 3.10 7.27 5.96 10.31 8.00
RECLTD.BO 18 REC Limited 6,485 5.69 4.63 27.60 22.71 26.68 22.74
OMF 19 OneMain Holdings, 6,129 9.56 9.36 23.68 23.31 27.02 30.53
ADS 20 Bread Financial Ho 5,661 8.99 9.03 -1.62 -1.67 -1.49 -
SHRIRAMFIN.BO 21 Shriram Finance Li 4,927 11.75 8.63 18.15 13.15 15.43 13.77
1606.HK 22 China Development 4,781 2.21 1.73 14.36 13.28 11.69 9.12
CGABL 23 The Carlyle Group 4,715 8.37 8.37 4.37 4.37 - -
JSM 24 Navient Corporatio 4,714 - - 1.86 1.71 1.94 1.04
SOFI 25 SoFi Technologies, 4,442 48.33 48.33 32.74 32.74 51.34 76.18
CHOLAHLDNG.BO 26 Cholamandalam Fina 4,205 15.89 12.85 28.58 23.11 22.33 27.91
WU 27 The Western Union 4,101 3.42 3.35 4.63 4.90 5.30 6.00
2666.HK 28 Genertec Universal 3,935 2.39 1.72 5.48 2.54 1.45 0.86

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple7.036.5014.3613.1511.3411.44
Full Range Median Multiple8.978.5018.1513.2813.5618.25
Industry Multiple12.7711.3717.8314.6720.0321.26
Market Implied Multiple8.999.03-1.62-1.67-1.49-
Company (ADS) Multiple8.999.03-1.62-1.67-1.49-
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue294293695674752-6
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9,9768,8658,526-69
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A12,6068,95310,196-110
(-) Net Debt-3,764-3,764-3,764-3,764-3,764-3,764
Winsorized Equity Value2,0651,90313,74012,62912,2903,695
Full Range Median Equity Value2,6342,48816,37012,71713,9603,654
(/) Shares Outstanding474747474747
Winsorized Fair Value$44.40$40.92$295.49$271.60$264.29$79.47
Full Range Median Fair Value$56.64$53.51$352.05$273.49$300.21$78.59
Current Price$56.80$56.80$56.80$56.80$56.80$56.80
Upside / Downside-21.83%-27.96%420.22%378.17%365.31%39.91%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$31.08$28.64$206.84$190.12$185.01$55.63
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUYBUYDon’t Buy