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Multiples Valuation: AAON, Inc.

AAON, Inc. (AAON)

Industry: Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $20.39 — $24.32
Selected (Average) $22.41
Upside to Live -76.18%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $22.92 — $31.56
Selected (Average) $26.63
Upside to Live -71.69%
Live Price $94.08

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
AZEK 42 The AZEK Company I 1,520 46.61 46.61 20.08 17.19 23.07 8.83
5930.T 43 Bunka Shutter Co., 1,486 11.80 10.29 5.08 4.49 9.35 8.32
UPONOR.HE 44 Uponor Oyj 1,434 29.36 27.99 14.09 13.29 9.70 10.88
LIAB.ST 45 Lindab Internation 1,401 27.96 28.04 9.87 8.93 37.38 39.21
APOG 46 Apogee Enterprises 1,392 21.19 21.49 7.76 7.07 9.85 16.61
BLUESTARCO.BO 47 Blue Star Limited 1,354 70.81 37.94 46.50 31.24 70.67 30.32
344820.KS 48 KCC GLASS Corporat 1,324 - - 5.56 5.56 - -
AAON 49 AAON, Inc. 1,316 76.00 71.93 36.56 32.84 43.69 54.47
5943.T 50 Noritz Corporation 1,315 14.16 14.16 4.07 2.26 - 13.06
ROCK 51 Gibraltar Industri 1,213 442.73 811.87 10.54 10.02 11.43 13.65
TREX 52 Trex Company, Inc. 1,181 28.00 27.10 17.23 16.14 20.16 20.22
SUPREMEIND.BO 53 The Supreme Indust 1,167 63.21 55.84 40.00 36.75 69.44 21.57
7570.T 54 Hashimoto Sogyo Ho 1,073 8.68 8.17 10.25 9.68 51.56 22.92
FAN.L 55 Volution Group plc 1,025 15.96 15.96 8.82 7.16 10.60 8.40
5351.T 56 Shinagawa Refracto 1,013 9.26 7.15 6.47 5.18 10.40 9.31
ECEL.L 57 Eurocell plc 978 8.01 7.69 3.57 3.20 11.12 6.94

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple18.5718.728.827.1611.1211.97
Full Range Median Multiple24.5824.299.878.9311.4313.36
Industry Multiple56.9880.0213.9911.8826.5216.44
Market Implied Multiple76.5272.4336.8133.0743.9954.84
Company (AAON) Multiple76.0071.9336.5632.8443.6954.47
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue100106208232174140
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,8381,6611,9391,674
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,0572,0711,9931,868
(-) Net Debt-1-1-1-1-1-1
Winsorized Equity Value1,8621,9831,8391,6621,9401,675
Full Range Median Equity Value2,4642,5732,0582,0721,9941,869
(/) Shares Outstanding828282828282
Winsorized Fair Value$22.83$24.32$22.55$20.39$23.79$20.54
Full Range Median Fair Value$30.21$31.56$25.24$25.41$24.46$22.92
Current Price$94.08$94.08$94.08$94.08$94.08$94.08
Upside / Downside-75.73%-74.15%-76.03%-78.33%-74.71%-78.16%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$15.98$17.03$15.79$14.27$16.66$14.38
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy