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Multiples Valuation: Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited (9922.HK)

Industry: Restaurants Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $5.32 — $34.40
Selected (Average) $15.45
Upside to Live 664.87%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $6.87 — $37.28
Selected (Average) $17.32
Upside to Live 757.20%
Live Price $2.02

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
WEN 32 The Wendy's Compan 2,208 9.42 8.41 10.80 10.19 15.92 13.64
PZZA 33 Papa John's Intern 2,086 41.19 42.09 10.17 9.37 27.21 17.64
CKF.AX 34 Collins Foods Limi 2,023 29.96 36.69 3.89 3.25 5.16 5.13
TAST 35 Carrols Restaurant 1,884 14.61 14.61 11.93 10.98 41.69 21.57
3397.T 36 TORIDOLL Holdings 1,775 90.72 90.72 11.72 9.72 24.55 29.68
7616.T 37 Colowide Co.,Ltd. 1,754 287.13 287.13 9.72 7.77 30.28 33.31
RBD.AX 38 Restaurant Brands 1,698 7.00 6.75 4.08 3.17 7.28 5.48
9922.HK 39 Jiumaojiu Internat 1,694 11.14 11.14 4.30 4.30 1.88 1.70
7581.T 40 Saizeriya Co.,Ltd. 1,649 22.99 22.99 6.73 4.15 10.98 13.85
0YU.DE 41 Yum China Holdings 1,623 26.14 23.21 14.86 13.83 21.10 18.27
0341.HK 42 Café de Coral Hol 1,620 13.23 17.40 3.31 3.47 11.97 13.93
2695.T 43 Kura Sushi,Inc. 1,559 73.74 73.74 12.97 10.36 19.47 20.23
BROS 44 Dutch Bros Inc. 1,537 145.76 145.76 40.22 40.22 57.98 67.29
JACK 45 Jack in the Box In 1,465 - - 48.67 71.20 18.34 -
1364.HK 46 Guming 1,422 34.89 34.89 35.35 35.35 29.79 35.15
0520.HK 47 Xiabuxiabu Caterin 1,389 - - 2.84 3.11 0.97 0.66

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple26.1423.2110.179.3718.3415.78
Full Range Median Multiple29.9634.8910.809.7219.4717.96
Industry Multiple61.2961.8815.1515.7421.5121.13
Market Implied Multiple8.818.813.663.661.601.45
Company (9922.HK) Multiple11.1411.144.304.301.881.70
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue4949182182416460
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,8481,7037,6397,260
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,9631,7668,1068,260
(-) Net Debt231231231231231231
Winsorized Equity Value1,2901,1451,6171,4727,4087,030
Full Range Median Equity Value1,4791,7221,7321,5357,8768,029
(/) Shares Outstanding215215215215215215
Winsorized Fair Value$5.99$5.32$7.51$6.84$34.40$32.64
Full Range Median Fair Value$6.87$8.00$8.04$7.13$36.57$37.28
Current Price$2.02$2.02$2.02$2.02$2.02$2.02
Upside / Downside196.59%163.33%271.76%238.48%1,603.09%1,516.00%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$4.19$3.72$5.26$4.79$24.08$22.85
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY