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Multiples Valuation: Changjiu Holdings Limited

Changjiu Holdings Limited (6959.HK)

Industry: Software - Application Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $15.06 — $34.01
Selected (Average) $23.09
Upside to Live 298.05%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $19.52 — $36.78
Selected (Average) $26.04
Upside to Live 348.98%
Live Price $5.80

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
300634.SZ 268 Richinfo Technolog 253 52.51 46.82 56.47 54.05 47.26 48.73
CRNC 269 Cerence Inc. 252 - - 56.33 67.48 - 63.64
4719.T 270 Alpha Systems Inc. 252 14.99 13.98 5.40 5.08 5.76 5.48
0AAW.L 271 Brockhaus Technolo 251 - - 6.00 3.22 6.74 7.23
TSRA 272 Xperi Corp. 251 23.44 23.44 12.63 9.61 14.66 9.69
BNFT 273 Benefitfocus, Inc. 249 - - - - - -
263750.KQ 274 Pearl Abyss Corp. 248 41.08 49.96 11.37 11.47 49.89 -
6959.HK 275 Changjiu Holdings 242 4.13 4.13 3.72 3.72 4.08 4.04
ALPRG.PA 276 Prologue S.A. 241 - - -0.68 -0.23 - -
0418.HK 277 Founder Holdings L 241 11.52 11.28 7.33 7.33 - 12.97
TRB.L 278 Tribal Group plc 238 9.33 9.33 4.36 4.36 3.76 5.19
UPLD 279 Upland Software, I 236 - - 45.19 45.35 12.76 -
9702.T 280 ISB Corporation 235 14.81 13.42 4.59 4.35 10.09 5.02
301491.SZ 281 Hansong (nanjing) 235 39.93 39.93 29.31 29.31 24.47 28.75
ATG.L 282 Auction Technology 232 27.26 27.26 11.74 11.74 35.63 30.54
FNOX.ST 283 Fortnox AB (publ) 230 68.87 49.70 45.57 33.25 53.16 40.67

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple23.4423.4411.379.6112.769.69
Full Range Median Multiple25.3525.3511.7411.4714.6612.97
Industry Multiple30.3728.5122.7922.0524.0123.44
Market Implied Multiple4.004.003.613.613.953.92
Company (6959.HK) Multiple4.134.133.723.724.084.04
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue424250504646
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A573485587450
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A592579675602
(-) Net Debt141414141414
Winsorized Equity Value983983559470573435
Full Range Median Equity Value1,0631,063577564660587
(/) Shares Outstanding292929292929
Winsorized Fair Value$34.01$34.01$19.33$16.27$19.83$15.06
Full Range Median Fair Value$36.78$36.78$19.98$19.52$22.85$20.33
Current Price$5.80$5.80$5.80$5.80$5.80$5.80
Upside / Downside486.46%486.46%233.35%180.52%241.83%159.66%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$23.81$23.81$13.53$11.39$13.88$10.54
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY