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Multiples Valuation: Haidilao International Holding Ltd.

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. (6862.HK)

Industry: Restaurants Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $24.95 — $52.07
Selected (Average) $37.16
Upside to Live 140.06%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $27.81 — $52.07
Selected (Average) $39.20
Upside to Live 153.24%
Live Price $15.48

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
FATAV 1 FAT Brands Inc. Cl 286,845 - - - - - -
XGR2.DE 2 Compass Group PLC 87,175 17.64 16.07 9.84 8.83 10.97 11.13
SBUX 3 Starbucks Corporat 37,184 52.63 45.82 22.16 19.79 31.94 28.40
MCD 4 McDonald's Corpora 26,264 24.81 22.29 18.24 16.69 19.57 19.71
0QKI.L 5 Swisscom AG 17,649 23.36 24.73 5.48 5.13 13.37 17.72
ELIOR.PA 6 Elior Group S.A. 14,329 14.21 18.08 2.81 3.02 3.08 5.28
DRI 7 Darden Restaurants 12,364 21.77 21.77 15.58 8.85 22.03 20.87
6862.HK 8 Haidilao Internati 12,210 8.58 8.58 4.81 4.81 4.20 3.87
0HXW.L 9 Chipotle Mexican G 11,787 34.05 23.43 24.09 18.75 29.65 19.79
SSPG.L 10 SSP Group plc 9,076 - - 3.45 2.80 11.48 5.48
HFG.DE 11 HelloFresh SE 8,243 - - 2.93 2.91 - -
YUM 12 Yum! Brands, Inc. 7,908 30.25 28.49 20.34 18.70 21.74 20.13
7550.T 13 Zensho Holdings Co 7,455 37.49 23.68 14.09 10.85 25.57 14.21
MAB.L 14 Mitchells & Butler 7,117 4.27 3.86 3.07 3.03 4.67 4.07
QSP-UN.TO 15 Restaurant Brands 6,719 22.75 20.59 14.69 13.72 13.15 14.82
QSR 16 Restaurant Brands 6,719 22.75 20.59 14.69 13.72 13.15 14.82

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple22.7521.1811.968.8413.1514.82
Full Range Median Multiple23.0622.0314.399.8513.3714.82
Industry Multiple25.5022.4512.2510.4816.9515.11
Market Implied Multiple9.779.775.485.484.784.40
Company (6862.HK) Multiple8.588.584.814.814.203.87
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,2361,2362,2022,2022,5242,741
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A26,34619,46333,19640,612
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A31,68021,69433,75040,612
(-) Net Debt111111
Winsorized Equity Value28,11426,17726,34519,46233,19540,612
Full Range Median Equity Value28,49427,22631,68021,69333,75040,612
(/) Shares Outstanding780780780780780780
Winsorized Fair Value$36.05$33.56$33.78$24.95$42.56$52.07
Full Range Median Fair Value$36.53$34.91$40.62$27.81$43.27$52.07
Current Price$15.48$15.48$15.48$15.48$15.48$15.48
Upside / Downside132.85%116.80%118.20%61.19%174.94%236.36%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$25.23$23.49$23.64$17.47$29.79$36.45
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY