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Multiples Valuation: E-Star Commercial Management Company Limited

E-Star Commercial Management Company Limited (6668.HK)

Industry: Real Estate - Services Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $1.74 — $5.53
Selected (Average) $3.72
Upside to Live 169.30%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $2.34 — $6.83
Selected (Average) $4.26
Upside to Live 208.35%
Live Price $1.38

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
2527.TW 224 Hung Ching Develop 195 6.16 4.86 10.67 8.52 77.22 15.64
8891.T 225 AMG Holdings Co.,L 193 5.73 5.73 9.84 9.84 10.83 10.80
PLAZ-B.ST 226 Platzer Fastighete 188 11.73 13.67 13.51 12.18 13.56 12.32
PAZ.SN 227 Paz Corp S.A. 188 9.96 9.68 - - 22.19 19.64
0674.HK 228 China Tangshang Ho 187 - - - - 3.00 9.06
2165.HK 229 Ling Yue Services 183 1.95 1.95 -1.77 -1.77 -1.80 -1.83
KFAST-B.ST 230 K-Fast Holding AB 182 83.91 136.03 28.22 26.52 28.75 24.37
6668.HK 231 E-Star Commercial 181 3.81 3.81 2.62 2.62 3.00 3.20
8894.T 232 Revolution Co., Lt 178 - - - - 3.83 -
VIH1.DE 233 VIB Vermögen AG 176 5.05 5.44 7.04 6.25 19.03 -
2376.HK 234 Lushang Life Servi 172 3.63 3.63 -1.48 -1.48 -1.53 -1.62
8893.T 235 Shin-Nihon Tatemon 171 4.85 3.83 6.58 5.19 17.29 5.40
8914.T 236 Arealink Co., Ltd. 166 17.13 17.13 9.66 9.66 11.57 10.02
TPFG.L 237 The Property Franc 163 14.83 9.31 8.38 5.27 7.79 7.62
2980.T 238 SRE Holdings Corpo 158 49.16 41.17 22.98 17.31 75.53 24.76
1036.HK 239 Vanke Overseas Inv 157 - - 0.48 0.51 - 2.18

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple5.955.599.668.5212.5710.02
Full Range Median Multiple8.067.529.759.0915.4310.80
Industry Multiple17.8421.0411.7410.1224.2212.89
Market Implied Multiple4.434.433.003.003.433.66
Company (6668.HK) Multiple3.813.812.622.623.003.20
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue454575756561
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A721636820613
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A7286781,007660
(-) Net Debt252525252525
Winsorized Equity Value266250695611795587
Full Range Median Equity Value361337702653981635
(/) Shares Outstanding144144144144144144
Winsorized Fair Value$1.85$1.74$4.84$4.25$5.53$4.09
Full Range Median Fair Value$2.51$2.34$4.89$4.54$6.83$4.42
Current Price$1.38$1.38$1.38$1.38$1.38$1.38
Upside / Downside34.31%26.13%250.61%207.86%300.75%196.14%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$1.30$1.22$3.39$2.97$3.87$2.86
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUYBUYBUY