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Multiples Valuation: China Feihe Limited

China Feihe Limited (6186.HK)

Industry: Packaged Foods Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $6.51 — $8.57
Selected (Average) $7.25
Upside to Live 82.51%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $7.02 — $9.67
Selected (Average) $8.25
Upside to Live 107.68%
Live Price $3.97

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
MKC 43 McCormick & Compan 6,788 24.29 24.18 16.86 16.54 19.40 20.85
0288.HK 44 WH Group Limited 6,741 5.05 3.85 2.98 2.87 3.00 3.46
LW 45 Lamb Weston Holdin 6,457 26.55 27.33 11.45 10.64 18.69 18.62
3799.HK 46 Dali Foods Group C 6,031 5.65 5.65 2.76 2.76 3.09 3.15
F&D.BK 47 Food and Drinks Pu 6,027 10.12 10.12 15.05 14.30 29.71 51.15
BAKK.L 48 Bakkavor Group plc 5,995 13.54 10.27 4.79 4.45 11.08 7.53
DAR 49 Darling Ingredient 5,844 48.71 66.07 6.31 6.57 10.36 16.53
6186.HK 50 China Feihe Limite 5,634 7.56 7.56 4.33 4.33 6.19 5.20
SAFM 51 Sanderson Farms, I 5,624 4.84 3.69 2.58 2.07 2.00 2.34
0MFY.L 52 Aryzta AG 5,495 7.71 7.15 4.52 5.22 7.72 8.29
BRLS 53 Borealis Foods Inc 5,167 - - - - - -
FLO 54 Flowers Foods, Inc 5,135 14.34 12.53 9.99 9.11 18.38 15.30
5285.KL 55 Sime Darby Plantat 5,020 11.74 8.86 7.01 6.07 11.66 7.77
AAK.ST 56 AAK AB (publ.) 4,975 18.63 15.87 11.75 10.24 13.48 12.20
HLF 57 Herbalife Nutritio 4,962 2.76 2.82 4.71 4.86 5.92 6.27
2897.T 58 Nissin Foods Holdi 4,958 16.48 15.68 10.06 9.74 15.98 14.94

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple10.939.495.555.6510.728.03
Full Range Median Multiple12.6410.206.666.3211.3710.25
Industry Multiple15.0315.297.927.5312.1813.46
Market Implied Multiple5.765.763.163.164.523.79
Company (6186.HK) Multiple7.567.564.334.336.195.20
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue8898891,3691,3699571,139
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A7,5977,73510,2659,150
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9,1218,65610,88411,676
(-) Net Debt-799-799-799-799-799-799
Winsorized Equity Value9,7188,4388,3968,53411,0649,949
Full Range Median Equity Value11,2389,0659,9219,45511,68312,475
(/) Shares Outstanding1,2901,2901,2901,2901,2901,290
Winsorized Fair Value$7.53$6.54$6.51$6.61$8.57$7.71
Full Range Median Fair Value$8.71$7.02$7.69$7.33$9.05$9.67
Current Price$3.97$3.97$3.97$3.97$3.97$3.97
Upside / Downside89.69%64.70%63.89%66.58%115.97%94.21%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$5.27$4.58$4.55$4.63$6.00$5.40
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY