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Multiples Valuation: Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd.

Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd. (603565.SS)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $10.08 — $20.55
Selected (Average) $14.33
Upside to Live 43.75%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $10.37 — $25.34
Selected (Average) $15.83
Upside to Live 58.79%
Live Price $9.97

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
603713.SS 54 Milkyway Chemical 1,879 16.84 14.29 12.24 10.02 12.79 13.08
9302.T 55 MITSUI-SOKO HOLDIN 1,857 31.64 30.34 11.40 10.80 16.67 15.99
9301.T 56 Mitsubishi Logisti 1,833 8.84 8.30 5.63 4.45 33.56 22.47
9364.T 57 Kamigumi Co., Ltd. 1,823 16.42 14.99 11.82 11.38 11.43 12.00
ARMX.AE 58 Aramex PJSC 1,728 50.17 68.01 9.15 10.02 20.60 27.11
9072.T 59 NIKKON Holdings Co 1,667 23.93 22.52 11.75 10.87 21.87 21.12
NTG.CO 60 NTG Nordic Transpo 1,641 19.83 7.33 8.06 6.41 11.35 10.80
603565.SS 61 Shanghai Zhonggu L 1,520 10.70 8.79 9.83 8.56 13.85 7.20
ALCLA.PA 62 Clasquin S.A. 1,510 10.09 5.13 4.88 2.62 10.94 3.41
9090.T 63 AZ-COM Maruwa Hold 1,413 17.08 15.66 9.39 8.34 13.29 11.44
ALLCARGO.BO 64 Allcargo Logistics 1,357 - - 34.13 45.02 - 218.43
FESH.ME 65 Far-Eastern Shippi 1,355 7.81 6.05 7.00 6.22 - 7.18
603967.SS 66 China Master Logis 1,319 14.91 13.96 8.45 7.77 8.50 8.00
603836.SS 67 Bondex Supply Chai 1,305 79.46 79.46 17.10 17.10 17.88 22.64
9369.T 68 K.R.S. Corporation 1,289 36.54 23.61 9.48 8.30 22.38 21.05
9303.T 69 The Sumitomo Wareh 1,251 10.94 8.96 6.55 5.78 25.16 21.03

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple16.6314.129.158.3013.2913.08
Full Range Median Multiple16.9614.649.398.3416.6715.99
Industry Multiple24.6122.7611.1411.0117.4229.05
Market Implied Multiple9.808.059.067.8912.776.64
Company (603565.SS) Multiple10.708.799.838.5613.857.20
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue303369359413255490
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A3,2903,4243,3906,410
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A3,3753,4424,2517,838
(-) Net Debt285285285285285285
Winsorized Equity Value5,0445,2133,0053,1393,1056,125
Full Range Median Equity Value5,1445,4033,0893,1563,9667,553
(/) Shares Outstanding298298298298298298
Winsorized Fair Value$16.92$17.49$10.08$10.53$10.42$20.55
Full Range Median Fair Value$17.26$18.13$10.37$10.59$13.30$25.34
Current Price$9.97$9.97$9.97$9.97$9.97$9.97
Upside / Downside69.75%75.41%1.12%5.62%4.48%106.12%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$11.85$12.24$7.06$7.37$7.29$14.39
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUY