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Multiples Valuation: Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited

Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited (3808.HK)

Industry: Agricultural - Machinery Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $52.33 — $117.00
Selected (Average) $85.00
Upside to Live 186.59%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $65.90 — $132.84
Selected (Average) $98.54
Upside to Live 232.24%
Live Price $29.66

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
CAT 1 Caterpillar Inc. 64,671 24.14 19.66 16.94 14.76 20.34 18.35
VOLV-A.ST 2 AB Volvo (publ) 53,093 15.41 13.26 9.90 8.87 14.82 12.96
8TRA.DE 3 Traton SE 52,301 7.66 4.82 6.28 5.30 15.63 8.31
DE 4 Deere & Company 44,964 24.82 22.00 15.48 14.08 20.64 18.01
PCAR 5 PACCAR Inc 29,532 19.22 16.92 14.56 13.40 24.08 15.91
3808.HK 6 Sinotruk (Hong Kon 26,974 4.68 2.66 2.80 2.14 2.97 2.20
6301.T 7 Komatsu Ltd. 25,875 11.38 8.58 7.19 5.91 10.36 6.87
CNH 8 CNH Industrial N.V 23,826 22.72 22.72 13.42 13.42 84.12 15.05
6326.T 9 Kubota Corporation 18,903 12.14 11.32 9.85 8.80 14.03 14.03
IVG.MI 10 Iveco Group N.V. 17,390 13.80 13.80 4.89 4.89 7.76 8.68
600710.SS 11 Sumec Corporation 16,699 10.97 9.27 3.11 2.86 2.97 2.96
MAN3.DE 12 MAN SE 16,089 74.00 101.88 7.47 7.89 - 189.05
000425.SZ 13 XCMG Construction 14,348 20.01 17.11 17.13 14.64 23.94 19.58
KGX.DE 14 Kion Group AG 13,231 27.71 27.35 7.31 6.89 18.21 25.11
600031.SS 15 Sany Heavy Industr 12,224 23.89 26.76 18.92 20.78 22.84 24.14
OSK 16 Oshkosh Corporatio 10,332 12.40 10.74 7.73 6.73 8.88 8.51

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple15.4113.807.737.8915.2314.03
Full Range Median Multiple19.2216.929.858.8016.9215.05
Industry Multiple21.3521.7510.689.9520.6225.83
Market Implied Multiple6.653.784.173.184.433.28
Company (3808.HK) Multiple4.682.662.802.142.972.20
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,7363,0552,4833,2562,3403,162
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A19,18525,69535,62844,350
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A24,46628,66639,58847,594
(-) Net Debt-1,176-1,176-1,176-1,176-1,176-1,176
Winsorized Equity Value26,74342,14620,36126,87136,80445,526
Full Range Median Equity Value33,35551,68725,64229,84240,76448,769
(/) Shares Outstanding389389389389389389
Winsorized Fair Value$68.73$108.32$52.33$69.06$94.59$117.00
Full Range Median Fair Value$85.72$132.84$65.90$76.69$104.76$125.34
Current Price$29.66$29.66$29.66$29.66$29.66$29.66
Upside / Downside131.73%265.19%76.42%132.83%218.90%294.47%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$48.11$75.82$36.63$48.34$66.21$81.90
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY