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Multiples Valuation: Dali Foods Group Company Limited

Dali Foods Group Company Limited (3799.HK)

Industry: Packaged Foods Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $4.32 — $6.98
Selected (Average) $5.41
Upside to Live 45.09%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $5.03 — $7.97
Selected (Average) $6.11
Upside to Live 63.74%
Live Price $3.73

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
INGR 39 Ingredion Incorpor 7,262 11.91 10.45 7.43 6.91 8.67 8.24
INDF.JK 40 PT Indofood Sukses 7,156 8.17 7.52 4.50 3.96 4.23 3.40
EBRO.MC 41 Ebro Foods, S.A. 7,149 6.72 6.29 3.67 3.39 5.11 4.96
ORK.OL 42 Orkla ASA 7,008 9.49 7.95 10.31 9.44 18.63 15.96
MKC 43 McCormick & Compan 6,788 24.29 24.18 16.86 16.54 19.40 20.85
0288.HK 44 WH Group Limited 6,741 5.05 3.85 2.98 2.87 3.00 3.46
LW 45 Lamb Weston Holdin 6,457 26.55 27.33 11.45 10.64 18.69 18.62
3799.HK 46 Dali Foods Group C 6,031 5.65 5.65 2.76 2.76 3.09 3.15
F&D.BK 47 Food and Drinks Pu 6,027 10.12 10.12 15.05 14.30 29.71 51.15
BAKK.L 48 Bakkavor Group plc 5,995 13.54 10.27 4.79 4.45 11.08 7.53
DAR 49 Darling Ingredient 5,844 48.71 66.07 6.31 6.57 10.36 16.53
6186.HK 50 China Feihe Limite 5,634 7.56 7.56 4.33 4.33 6.19 5.20
SAFM 51 Sanderson Farms, I 5,624 4.84 3.69 2.58 2.07 2.00 2.34
0MFY.L 52 Aryzta AG 5,495 7.71 7.15 4.52 5.22 7.72 8.29
BRLS 53 Borealis Foods Inc 5,167 - - - - - -
FLO 54 Flowers Foods, Inc 5,135 14.34 12.53 9.99 9.11 18.38 15.30

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple8.837.764.654.848.197.88
Full Range Median Multiple9.819.045.555.909.518.27
Industry Multiple14.2214.647.487.1311.6512.99
Market Implied Multiple6.706.703.463.463.873.95
Company (3799.HK) Multiple5.655.652.762.763.093.15
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,0811,0811,6351,6351,4611,433
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A7,6107,91511,97011,298
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9,0759,64613,90111,847
(-) Net Debt-1,594-1,594-1,594-1,594-1,594-1,594
Winsorized Equity Value9,5538,3889,2049,50913,56412,892
Full Range Median Equity Value10,6079,77410,66911,24015,49513,440
(/) Shares Outstanding1,9441,9441,9441,9441,9441,944
Winsorized Fair Value$4.92$4.32$4.74$4.89$6.98$6.63
Full Range Median Fair Value$5.46$5.03$5.49$5.78$7.97$6.92
Current Price$3.73$3.73$3.73$3.73$3.73$3.73
Upside / Downside31.77%15.70%26.95%31.16%87.09%77.83%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$3.44$3.02$3.31$3.42$4.89$4.64
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUY