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Multiples Valuation: China State Construction International Holdings Limited

China State Construction International Holdings Limited (3311.HK)

Industry: Engineering & Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $35.69 — $72.08
Selected (Average) $51.69
Upside to Live 485.43%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $44.04 — $106.56
Selected (Average) $65.82
Upside to Live 645.46%
Live Price $8.83

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
601186.SS 4 China Railway Cons 147,245 4.74 4.64 12.86 12.50 21.62 21.79
601800.SS 5 China Communicatio 106,110 7.10 6.81 14.73 14.25 21.26 18.72
601669.SS 6 Power Construction 91,872 9.00 8.34 13.25 12.31 24.67 27.59
601618.SS 7 Metallurgical Corp 67,346 20.54 23.21 18.57 20.27 23.07 28.30
EN.PA 8 Bouygues S.A. 67,111 13.97 12.58 4.75 4.37 6.37 8.91
601868.SS 9 China Energy Engin 65,957 12.64 11.39 14.12 12.41 29.45 23.03
600170.SS 10 Shanghai Construct 34,671 12.93 14.38 8.35 8.91 12.78 18.55
3311.HK 11 China State Constr 29,610 2.95 2.40 3.51 2.68 3.65 2.87
028260.KS 12 Samsung C&T Corpor 27,137 12.44 10.89 4.95 4.19 8.91 7.52
PWR 13 Quanta Services, I 27,065 60.67 50.17 26.23 21.26 32.47 34.64
601117.SS 14 China National Che 26,640 7.42 6.60 3.73 3.34 5.04 3.53
ANA.MC 15 Acciona, S.A. 25,466 10.00 7.62 7.18 6.37 8.99 8.04
SPIE.PA 16 SPIE S.a. 23,038 18.75 18.75 6.85 5.63 11.59 8.74
0MKP.L 17 Strabag SE 21,047 11.27 10.36 5.67 5.77 5.64 2.62
000720.KS 18 Hyundai Engineerin 20,490 - - - - 16.56 -
SKA-B.ST 19 Skanska AB (publ) 19,634 16.27 16.75 10.04 10.50 21.85 13.96

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.8610.627.777.6412.7811.43
Full Range Median Multiple12.5411.149.209.7116.5616.25
Industry Multiple15.5514.4610.8010.1516.6816.14
Market Implied Multiple2.411.963.172.423.302.59
Company (3311.HK) Multiple2.952.403.512.683.652.87
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue2,4963,0703,9805,2203,8294,871
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A30,90939,88448,94255,693
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A36,59950,68363,41179,169
(-) Net Debt6,6106,6106,6106,6106,6106,610
Winsorized Equity Value29,59732,60924,29833,27342,33149,082
Full Range Median Equity Value31,30434,19629,98844,07356,80172,558
(/) Shares Outstanding681681681681681681
Winsorized Fair Value$43.47$47.89$35.69$48.87$62.17$72.08
Full Range Median Fair Value$45.97$50.22$44.04$64.73$83.42$106.56
Current Price$8.83$8.83$8.83$8.83$8.83$8.83
Upside / Downside392.26%442.37%304.14%453.41%604.07%716.35%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$30.43$33.52$24.98$34.21$43.52$50.46
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY