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Multiples Valuation: HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited

HK Electric Investments and HK Electric Investments Limited (2638.HK)

Industry: Regulated Electric Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $2.22 — $8.04
Selected (Average) $5.91
Upside to Live -9.76%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $3.33 — $8.96
Selected (Average) $6.91
Upside to Live 5.43%
Live Price $6.55

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
000543.SZ 66 An Hui Wenergy Com 4,162 6.74 5.54 9.30 8.09 9.59 9.86
000600.SZ 67 Jointo Energy Inve 3,439 7.89 7.16 7.52 7.18 7.65 10.40
POR 68 Portland General E 3,437 16.00 14.15 8.74 7.97 15.15 16.08
MSRS.ME 69 Public Joint-Stock 3,352 2.46 2.10 2.70 2.69 1.77 2.55
REDE3.SA 70 Rede Energia Parti 3,330 9.39 8.11 6.88 6.00 7.48 6.93
OGE 71 OGE Energy Corp. 3,295 18.52 18.52 11.10 7.59 11.10 16.26
IRGZ.ME 72 Irkutsk Public Joi 3,291 - - 5.91 5.77 7.38 8.84
2638.HK 73 HK Electric Invest 3,059 8.05 8.05 6.00 6.00 10.88 9.71
CEEB3.SA 74 Companhia de Eletr 2,769 4.71 4.09 5.01 4.20 7.05 4.83
GPSC-R.BK 75 Global Power Syner 2,765 16.64 17.02 9.38 9.41 21.15 23.56
RIFS.L 76 Reliance Infrastru 2,669 49.42 49.42 4.68 3.82 - 9.99
AQNB 77 Algonquin Power & 2,388 - - 23.43 22.30 32.71 36.52
KBSB.ME 78 PJSC TNS energo Ku 2,307 10.94 9.99 - - 1.34 -
EGIE3.SA 79 Engie Brasil Energ 2,303 10.94 10.43 7.83 7.44 10.69 9.82
MRKC.ME 80 PJSC Rosseti Centr 2,143 1.07 0.90 1.81 1.73 1.75 1.75
000966.SZ 81 CHN Energy Changyu 2,126 102.14 148.24 18.36 18.21 25.57 178.29

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.398.117.206.597.579.84
Full Range Median Multiple10.949.997.687.318.629.93
Industry Multiple19.7622.748.768.0311.4623.98
Market Implied Multiple9.219.216.426.4211.6510.40
Company (2638.HK) Multiple8.058.056.006.0010.889.71
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue8088082,1862,1861,2051,350
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A15,73414,4069,11813,280
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A16,77415,98010,38713,400
(-) Net Debt6,5996,5996,5996,5996,5996,599
Winsorized Equity Value7,5866,5499,1357,8072,5196,681
Full Range Median Equity Value8,8368,07510,1759,3813,7876,801
(/) Shares Outstanding1,1361,1361,1361,1361,1361,136
Winsorized Fair Value$6.68$5.77$8.04$6.87$2.22$5.88
Full Range Median Fair Value$7.78$7.11$8.96$8.26$3.33$5.99
Current Price$6.55$6.55$6.55$6.55$6.55$6.55
Upside / Downside1.98%-11.97%22.80%4.95%-66.14%-10.19%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$4.68$4.04$5.63$4.81$1.55$4.12
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy