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Multiples Valuation: Tian Lun Gas Holdings Limited

Tian Lun Gas Holdings Limited (1600.HK)

Industry: Regulated Gas Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $10.62 — $16.66
Selected (Average) $13.20
Upside to Live 353.46%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $11.42 — $19.30
Selected (Average) $14.16
Upside to Live 386.43%
Live Price $2.91

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
BIPC 18 Brookfield Infrast 3,656 - - 4.56 3.19 8.02 2.17
004690.KS 19 Samchully Co.,Ltd 3,554 4.27 2.81 2.95 2.53 13.01 8.35
3633.HK 20 Zhongyu Energy Hol 3,428 27.97 30.50 8.09 6.91 15.48 15.05
CTRI 21 Centuri Holdings, 2,841 790.74 790.74 12.28 12.28 19.47 32.26
SR-PA 22 Spire Inc. 2,476 17.70 14.15 7.93 6.86 - 10.47
OGS 23 ONE Gas, Inc. 2,369 19.09 17.98 10.85 9.92 31.57 17.29
CGAS3.SA 24 Companhia de Gás 2,338 10.49 9.88 5.97 5.37 7.11 7.41
1600.HK 25 Tian Lun Gas Holdi 2,240 4.01 3.66 3.73 3.03 6.52 4.23
NJR 26 New Jersey Resourc 2,033 14.41 12.63 11.55 9.98 57.96 16.28
AYGAZ.IS 27 Aygaz A.S. 1,975 11.53 11.53 7.82 4.68 13.96 14.47
GSPL.BO 28 Gujarat State Petr 1,856 16.96 18.09 6.76 7.07 9.95 5.44
5209.KL 29 Gas Malaysia Berha 1,855 13.60 13.60 8.19 8.19 10.35 10.24
GUJGAS.BO 30 Gujarat Gas Limite 1,825 36.93 37.25 22.81 22.24 13.11 12.59
NFE 31 New Fortress Energ 1,779 - - - - - -
2886.HK 32 Binhai Investment 1,596 3.07 2.94 3.82 3.47 4.67 6.31
600917.SS 33 Chongqing Gas Grou 1,473 34.49 37.34 19.28 19.97 109.71 31.19

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple14.4113.607.886.8813.0110.35
Full Range Median Multiple16.9614.158.016.9913.1111.53
Industry Multiple77.0276.889.498.7624.1813.54
Market Implied Multiple3.953.613.713.026.494.21
Company (1600.HK) Multiple4.013.663.733.036.524.23
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue101111350430200308
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,7592,9602,6063,191
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,8053,0052,6253,553
(-) Net Debt898898898898898898
Winsorized Equity Value1,4611,5091,8602,0611,7082,293
Full Range Median Equity Value1,7201,5711,9062,1071,7262,655
(/) Shares Outstanding138138138138138138
Winsorized Fair Value$10.62$10.97$13.52$14.98$12.41$16.66
Full Range Median Fair Value$12.50$11.42$13.86$15.31$12.55$19.30
Current Price$2.91$2.91$2.91$2.91$2.91$2.91
Upside / Downside264.92%277.01%364.68%414.91%326.55%472.68%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$7.43$7.68$9.47$10.49$8.69$11.67
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY