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Multiples Valuation: Guangzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.

Guangzhou Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. (1551.HK)

Industry: Banks - Regional Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $1.16 — $2.64
Selected (Average) $1.84
Upside to Live 22.18%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $1.27 — $3.30
Selected (Average) $2.15
Upside to Live 42.10%
Live Price $1.51

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
5819.KL 184 Hong Leong Bank Be 2,726 9.40 8.44 8.71 7.82 8.92 8.05
CRLA.PA 185 Caisse Régionale 2,722 3.32 3.25 2.65 2.38 0.86 2.69
002958.SZ 186 Qingdao Rural Comm 2,701 5.82 5.80 52.12 52.99 27.77 52.99
CADE 187 Cadence Bank 2,667 13.17 11.10 12.72 11.36 11.19 8.50
139130.KS 188 iM Financial Group 2,641 6.20 6.04 22.78 22.14 23.31 21.22
FNB-PE 189 F.N.B. Corporation 2,635 11.42 10.35 11.86 10.62 10.60 12.09
FEDS.L 190 The Federal Bank L 2,618 4.78 3.97 3.55 4.11 3.81 0.94
1551.HK 191 Guangzhou Rural Co 2,612 5.63 6.52 - - 3.84 4.82
601128.SS 192 Jiangsu Changshu R 2,592 5.41 4.57 12.55 10.55 9.69 10.55
BBAJIOO.MX 193 Banco del Bajío, 2,562 5.55 4.80 6.51 5.62 7.80 6.02
2356.HK 194 Dah Sing Banking G 2,538 3.12 3.09 -0.49 -0.37 -0.33 -0.42
UCOBANK.BO 195 UCO Bank 2,520 16.27 16.27 11.62 11.62 5.73 7.71
7186.T 196 Yokohama Financial 2,454 13.85 11.70 1.08 0.91 0.91 0.63
CIT 197 CIT Group Inc. 2,410 7.21 7.03 2.92 3.14 3.88 3.77
601963.SS 198 Bank of Chongqing 2,405 5.57 5.29 67.21 66.11 63.31 65.08
8354.T 199 Fukuoka Financial 2,376 10.96 5.06 4.46 2.15 4.46 2.79

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple5.825.297.616.726.766.86
Full Range Median Multiple6.205.8010.179.198.367.88
Industry Multiple8.147.1215.7715.1113.0214.50
Market Implied Multiple5.946.88--4.035.06
Company (1551.HK) Multiple5.636.52--3.844.82
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue687593-78-781,114886
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A-590-5217,5316,085
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A-789-7139,3116,983
(-) Net Debt408408408408408408
Winsorized Equity Value3,9943,137-998-9297,1235,677
Full Range Median Equity Value4,2603,442-1,197-1,1218,9036,575
(/) Shares Outstanding2,7012,7012,7012,7012,7012,701
Winsorized Fair Value$1.48$1.16$-0.37$-0.34$2.64$2.10
Full Range Median Fair Value$1.58$1.27$-0.44$-0.41$3.30$2.43
Current Price$1.51$1.51$1.51$1.51$1.51$1.51
Upside / Downside-2.07%-23.08%-124.48%-122.79%74.66%39.20%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$1.04$0.81$-0.26$-0.24$1.85$1.47
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYDon’t Buy