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Multiples Valuation: Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest Indus

Xiamen Yan Palace Bird's Nest Indus (1497.HK)

Industry: Packaged Foods Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $7.78 — $16.48
Selected (Average) $9.80
Upside to Live 60.67%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $8.91 — $17.88
Selected (Average) $11.47
Upside to Live 87.99%
Live Price $6.10

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
4526.T 208 Riken Vitamin Co., 615 9.08 9.08 4.96 3.77 11.22 7.48
HMAAGRO.BO 209 HMA Agro Industrie 613 14.92 14.92 7.04 7.04 - 19.52
CMRY.JK 210 PT Cisarua Mountai 613 18.58 18.58 13.48 13.48 13.24 16.78
GFPT-R.BK 211 GFPT Public Compan 609 5.25 4.53 2.89 2.51 4.59 5.56
002661.SZ 212 Chen Ke Ming Food 608 24.86 31.30 19.26 22.59 45.49 54.06
300973.SZ 213 Ligao Foods Co.Ltd 605 22.53 21.07 18.62 17.44 20.77 19.01
2915.T 214 KENKO Mayonnaise C 586 11.70 10.39 2.77 2.65 3.66 4.25
1497.HK 215 Xiamen Yan Palace 574 8.11 8.11 4.28 4.28 4.92 5.25
GAEL.BO 216 Gujarat Ambuja Exp 573 23.50 23.78 11.65 11.37 31.51 24.13
BKL.AX 217 Blackmores Limited 568 36.11 36.14 12.12 10.91 6.47 18.83
CEKA.JK 218 PT Wilmar Cahaya I 564 5.91 5.57 3.36 3.13 5.12 3.48
002696.SZ 219 Baiyang Investment 553 39.76 39.76 27.34 27.34 24.50 47.49
FREE 220 Whole Earth Brands 551 - - 13.67 13.67 15.79 20.96
TIPI.PA 221 Tipiak S.A. 546 - - 4.62 4.68 11.13 18.28
1837.HK 222 Natural Food Inter 511 5.06 5.06 1.10 1.10 2.00 1.39
ULTJ.JK 223 PT Ultrajaya Milk 509 11.03 10.98 6.56 6.49 6.48 7.07

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.7010.986.566.498.8116.78
Full Range Median Multiple14.9214.927.047.0411.1818.28
Industry Multiple17.5617.789.969.8814.4317.89
Market Implied Multiple8.618.614.584.585.285.63
Company (1497.HK) Multiple8.118.114.284.284.925.25
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue464674746460
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A4864805661,011
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A5215217191,102
(-) Net Debt-56-56-56-56-56-56
Winsorized Equity Value5375045425366221,067
Full Range Median Equity Value6856855775777741,158
(/) Shares Outstanding656565656565
Winsorized Fair Value$8.30$7.78$8.36$8.28$9.60$16.48
Full Range Median Fair Value$10.57$10.57$8.91$8.91$11.96$17.88
Current Price$6.10$6.10$6.10$6.10$6.10$6.10
Upside / Downside35.98%27.60%37.11%35.73%57.45%170.17%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$5.81$5.45$5.85$5.80$6.72$11.54
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUY