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Multiples Valuation: Q P Group Holdings Limited

Q P Group Holdings Limited (1412.HK)

Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $6.99 — $16.92
Selected (Average) $9.97
Upside to Live 547.63%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $9.74 — $17.18
Selected (Average) $13.02
Upside to Live 745.30%
Live Price $1.54

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
600419.SS 72 Xinjiang Tianrun D 386 298.67 500.33 67.58 89.44 79.07 27.23
004540.KS 73 KleanNara Co., Ltd 358 - - 13.66 16.83 - -
600103.SS 74 Fujian Qingshan Pa 335 129.22 84.06 38.96 36.91 274.71 74.61
0H2W.L 75 Bergs Timber AB (p 314 - - 11.62 12.68 43.56 -
603687.SS 76 Zhejiang Great She 314 43.68 45.09 16.19 15.87 24.17 19.90
300703.SZ 77 Cre8 Direct (NingB 306 43.02 38.13 27.86 25.06 30.70 25.50
MWY.AX 78 Midway Limited 304 - - 6.43 6.43 1.61 41.92
1412.HK 79 Q P Group Holdings 289 3.81 3.81 2.29 2.29 2.16 3.35
SHAN.TA 80 Shaniv Paper Indus 283 22.00 25.48 8.21 7.98 10.24 13.88
GREENPLY.BO 81 Greenply Industrie 283 44.16 26.86 17.90 13.04 26.31 10.27
RROS.ST 82 Rottneros AB (publ 277 - - - - - -
CRPR.L 83 James Cropper PLC 264 - - 77.50 153.50 1.78 5.92
601996.SS 84 Guangxi Fenglin Wo 251 - - - - - -
DEL 85 Deltic Timber Corp 242 170.60 183.08 30.60 28.20 - 81.28
ALRGR.PA 86 Rougier S.A. 230 2.21 2.21 1.12 1.06 10.48 -
ALMOU.PA 87 Moulinvest S.A. 222 13.03 14.19 3.20 2.78 7.39 11.07

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple43.0226.8613.6613.0410.4819.90
Full Range Median Multiple43.6838.1316.1915.8724.1722.70
Industry Multiple85.18102.1624.6831.5246.3731.16
Market Implied Multiple3.923.922.352.352.223.44
Company (1412.HK) Multiple3.813.812.292.292.163.35
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue272743434529
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A583557473580
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A6916781,091661
(-) Net Debt-5-5-5-5-5-5
Winsorized Equity Value1,157722588562478585
Full Range Median Equity Value1,1741,0256966831,096666
(/) Shares Outstanding686868686868
Winsorized Fair Value$16.92$10.56$8.60$8.22$6.99$8.55
Full Range Median Fair Value$17.18$15.00$10.18$9.98$16.03$9.74
Current Price$1.54$1.54$1.54$1.54$1.54$1.54
Upside / Downside998.56%585.99%458.74%433.49%353.81%455.19%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$11.84$7.39$6.02$5.75$4.89$5.98
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY