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Multiples Valuation: Golik Holdings Limited

Golik Holdings Limited (1118.HK)

Industry: Steel Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $4.09 — $10.95
Selected (Average) $6.82
Upside to Live 449.63%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $4.58 — $15.54
Selected (Average) $8.73
Upside to Live 603.89%
Live Price $1.24

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
000926.SZ 118 Hubei Fuxing Scien 1,062 - - - - - -
002756.SZ 119 Yongxing Special M 1,049 33.99 28.18 23.74 20.67 23.63 16.95
5480.T 120 Nippon Yakin Kogyo 1,021 6.30 5.52 6.35 5.70 12.00 7.89
5632.T 121 Mitsubishi Steel M 1,009 11.34 11.34 6.84 6.84 19.17 10.13
5408.T 122 Nakayama Steel Wor 1,005 8.27 6.91 2.45 2.18 4.60 2.91
LLOYDSME.BO 123 Lloyds Metals and 972 35.18 13.76 26.20 10.32 20.42 27.92
MGEL3.SA 124 Mangels Industrial 967 - - 26.05 26.05 49.24 29.28
1118.HK 125 Golik Holdings Lim 957 1.85 1.71 1.08 0.99 1.19 1.02
605158.SS 126 Zhejiang Huada New 956 25.68 27.95 27.48 30.34 - 36.55
AMEZ.ME 127 PJSC Ashinskiy met 927 4.49 4.49 3.20 3.20 4.53 3.70
084010.KS 128 Daehan Steel Co., 859 8.99 10.86 4.98 5.29 6.87 456.99
600117.SS 129 XiNing Special Ste 839 - - - - - -
SURYAROSNI.BO 130 Surya Roshni Limit 826 19.00 15.13 10.93 9.75 18.42 14.32
1938.HK 131 Chu Kong Petroleum 821 0.51 0.51 9.41 9.41 14.77 24.52
002478.SZ 132 Jiangsu Changbao S 817 8.12 7.33 5.02 4.95 5.93 4.66
IGST.ME 133 Izhstal PAO 814 0.92 0.92 1.84 1.84 4.24 1.16

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple8.207.126.355.709.4310.13
Full Range Median Multiple8.639.106.846.8413.3814.32
Industry Multiple13.5711.0811.8810.5015.3249.00
Market Implied Multiple2.342.161.331.221.461.26
Company (1118.HK) Multiple1.851.711.080.991.191.02
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue394276847081
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A484477657819
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A5225729331,158
(-) Net Debt101010101010
Winsorized Equity Value321302474466647809
Full Range Median Equity Value3383855115629221,147
(/) Shares Outstanding747474747474
Winsorized Fair Value$4.35$4.09$6.42$6.32$8.77$10.95
Full Range Median Fair Value$4.58$5.22$6.93$7.61$12.49$15.54
Current Price$1.24$1.24$1.24$1.24$1.24$1.24
Upside / Downside250.56%229.80%417.77%409.37%606.96%783.31%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$3.04$2.86$4.49$4.42$6.14$7.67
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY