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Multiples Valuation: Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited (1052.HK)

Industry: Industrial - Infrastructure Operations Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $5.87 — $32.45
Selected (Average) $20.52
Upside to Live 349.91%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $7.39 — $50.25
Selected (Average) $27.50
Upside to Live 503.05%
Live Price $4.56

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0576.HK 12 Zhejiang Expresswa 2,609 7.04 5.72 10.83 9.04 18.74 32.23
4666.T 13 PARK24 Co., Ltd. 2,495 23.66 18.38 6.45 6.02 16.96 9.07
ECOR3.SA 14 EcoRodovias Infrae 1,980 5.90 4.67 6.06 4.91 5.68 9.01
001965.SZ 15 China Merchants Ex 1,751 12.80 10.85 21.26 19.14 37.33 19.96
1576.HK 16 Qilu Expressway Co 1,709 4.31 4.31 7.45 7.45 10.28 11.73
ALEATIC.MX 17 Aleatica, S.A.B. d 1,524 10.05 10.12 16.91 16.38 9.54 20.05
600548.SS 18 Shenzhen Expresswa 1,339 20.34 19.74 14.80 14.02 23.47 29.04
1052.HK 19 Yuexiu Transport I 1,308 4.17 4.08 3.22 2.72 6.05 5.60
601107.SS 20 Sichuan Expressway 1,290 10.39 7.02 14.80 13.09 18.61 17.68
000900.SZ 21 Xiandai Investment 1,223 16.81 17.91 19.03 19.57 31.69 44.69
002941.SZ 22 Xinjiang Communica 1,201 19.07 15.54 17.34 14.50 14.13 15.53
6379.T 23 RAIZNEXT Corporati 1,102 9.68 8.94 6.54 6.07 4.02 6.76
600012.SS 24 Anhui Expressway C 1,055 11.48 9.47 9.00 7.86 10.02 9.66
600020.SS 25 Henan Zhongyuan Ex 1,015 9.33 7.10 17.80 18.26 20.98 23.29
600269.SS 26 Jiangxi Ganyue Exp 826 6.45 4.20 5.34 4.78 8.86 5.17
IRB.BO 27 IRB Infrastructure 768 3.83 2.01 14.89 14.24 31.80 15.93

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.687.1010.839.0414.1315.53
Full Range Median Multiple10.058.9414.8013.0916.9615.93
Industry Multiple11.419.7312.5711.6917.4717.99
Market Implied Multiple5.635.523.532.986.636.14
Company (1052.HK) Multiple4.174.083.222.726.055.60
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue174178822972437472
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A8,8988,7906,1827,328
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A12,16212,7267,4157,516
(-) Net Debt1,9181,9181,9181,9181,9181,918
Winsorized Equity Value1,6871,2626,9796,8724,2635,410
Full Range Median Equity Value1,7511,58810,24410,8085,4975,597
(/) Shares Outstanding215215215215215215
Winsorized Fair Value$7.84$5.87$32.45$31.95$19.82$25.15
Full Range Median Fair Value$8.14$7.39$47.63$50.25$25.56$26.03
Current Price$4.56$4.56$4.56$4.56$4.56$4.56
Upside / Downside72.04%28.71%611.64%600.72%334.72%451.64%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$5.49$4.11$22.72$22.37$13.88$17.61
Buy / Don't BuyBUYDon’t BuyBUYBUYBUYBUY