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Multiples Valuation: Cairo Communication S.p.A.

Cairo Communication S.p.A. (0N7I.L)

Industry: Advertising Agencies Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $8.33 — $21.32
Selected (Average) $13.75
Upside to Live 663.87%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $11.87 — $24.18
Selected (Average) $16.57
Upside to Live 820.43%
Live Price $1.80

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
2433.T 7 Hakuhodo DY Holdin 5,728 27.17 28.86 7.02 6.90 13.19 10.83
4751.T 8 CyberAgent, Inc. 5,615 28.41 20.76 10.14 8.80 8.33 9.16
MDCA 9 MDC Partners Inc. 4,376 37.95 37.95 18.41 14.78 12.58 17.02
ADV 10 Advantage Solution 3,503 - - 4.52 6.29 1.93 -
002400.SZ 11 Guangdong Advertis 3,067 140.06 140.06 76.87 81.61 767.62 162.32
030000.KS 12 Cheil Worldwide In 3,056 11.27 10.62 2.33 1.82 4.79 5.03
STGW 13 Stagwell Inc. 2,890 73.24 65.32 8.64 6.98 12.80 19.21
0N7I.L 14 Cairo Communicatio 2,504 4.44 3.59 1.37 0.93 2.20 1.60
1948.HK 15 Uju Holding Limite 2,503 7.63 7.63 4.81 4.81 3.84 5.27
SAX.DE 16 Ströer SE & Co. K 2,416 17.10 9.93 4.89 4.67 12.29 8.48
SFOR.L 17 S4 Capital plc 2,278 - - - - - 8.53
DLX 18 Deluxe Corporation 2,119 10.67 8.65 6.11 5.37 7.61 7.95
002027.SZ 19 Focus Media Inform 1,789 21.45 18.67 19.92 17.55 16.59 15.92
CCO 20 Clear Channel Outd 1,569 - - 17.74 13.10 21.97 23.39
214320.KS 21 Innocean Worldwide 1,445 9.50 9.09 1.52 1.23 4.17 3.68
IGL.AX 22 IVE Group Limited 1,276 6.07 6.07 3.73 3.73 4.66 4.44

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple14.1810.285.505.837.978.51
Full Range Median Multiple19.2714.656.566.6010.318.85
Industry Multiple32.5430.3013.3312.6963.7421.52
Market Implied Multiple2.752.220.940.641.501.09
Company (0N7I.L) Multiple4.443.591.370.932.201.60
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue103128401593251346
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,2083,4572,0032,940
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,6343,9092,5913,058
(-) Net Debt929292929292
Winsorized Equity Value1,4671,3152,1163,3641,9112,848
Full Range Median Equity Value1,9941,8732,5423,8172,4982,965
(/) Shares Outstanding158158158158158158
Winsorized Fair Value$9.30$8.33$13.41$21.32$12.11$18.04
Full Range Median Fair Value$12.63$11.87$16.11$24.18$15.83$18.79
Current Price$1.80$1.80$1.80$1.80$1.80$1.80
Upside / Downside416.51%362.70%644.83%1,084.18%572.61%902.41%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$6.51$5.83$9.38$14.92$8.47$12.63
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY