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Multiples Valuation: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (0JQQ.L)

Industry: Agricultural Inputs Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $1.77 — $23.33
Selected (Average) $14.96
Upside to Live -77.06%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $3.14 — $36.82
Selected (Average) $24.82
Upside to Live -61.93%
Live Price $65.21

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0JQQ.L 1 Archer-Daniels-Mid 83,233 24.32 25.77 11.44 11.25 23.23 34.24
097870.KS 2 Hyosung ONB Co Ltd 26,258 16.33 14.56 9.82 8.88 5.56 16.40
CTA-PA 3 EIDP, Inc. 17,469 23.76 19.63 10.76 9.29 - 11.60
CTA-PB 4 E. I. du Pont de N 17,469 28.60 23.64 12.91 11.15 - 13.92
CTVA 5 Corteva, Inc. 17,469 28.60 23.64 12.91 11.15 - 13.92
000626.SZ 6 Grand Industrial H 12,055 - - - - - -
600096.SS 7 Yunnan Yuntianhua 7,439 8.67 4.03 6.19 5.19 6.39 4.76
PHOR.ME 8 Public Joint-Stock 7,162 8.07 5.01 5.77 4.25 7.32 5.19
1866.HK 9 China XLX Fertilis 6,701 2.29 1.68 2.73 2.02 5.16 3.82
001390.KS 10 KG Chemical Corpor 5,840 5.09 5.89 3.43 3.19 6.65 7.29
0297.HK 11 Sinofert Holdings 5,730 4.59 4.59 2.61 1.61 1.26 2.96
600426.SS 12 Shandong Hualu-Hen 4,627 17.47 15.60 9.94 8.77 14.27 13.23
000553.SZ 13 ADAMA Ltd. 4,207 - - 11.02 11.96 36.07 -
EIDPARRY.BO 14 E.I.D.- Parry (Ind 3,971 15.83 14.16 5.02 4.54 4.93 2.62
FMC 15 FMC Corporation 3,555 - - 19.59 26.35 - 162.59
3983.HK 16 China BlueChemical 3,493 3.71 3.29 3.26 3.55 5.01 5.53

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple8.375.455.984.875.565.53
Full Range Median Multiple12.2510.038.006.985.987.29
Industry Multiple13.5811.318.287.999.2620.29
Market Implied Multiple26.5428.1312.2612.0624.8936.69
Company (0JQQ.L) Multiple24.3225.7711.4411.2523.2334.24
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,1891,1223,2243,2781,5881,077
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A19,26515,9578,8305,955
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A25,79422,8889,4927,853
(-) Net Debt7,9727,9727,9727,9727,9727,972
Winsorized Equity Value9,9486,11611,2937,985858-2,017
Full Range Median Equity Value14,56111,25117,82214,9161,520-119
(/) Shares Outstanding484484484484484484
Winsorized Fair Value$20.55$12.64$23.33$16.50$1.77$-4.17
Full Range Median Fair Value$30.08$23.25$36.82$30.82$3.14$-0.25
Current Price$65.21$65.21$65.21$65.21$65.21$65.21
Upside / Downside-68.48%-80.62%-64.22%-74.70%-97.28%-106.39%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$14.39$8.85$16.33$11.55$1.24$-2.92
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy