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Multiples Valuation: Comerica Incorporated

Comerica Incorporated (0I1P.L)

Industry: Banks Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $16.89 — $39.10
Selected (Average) $31.17
Upside to Live -65.93%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $18.95 — $45.55
Selected (Average) $34.56
Upside to Live -62.22%
Live Price $91.50

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
TD-PFJ.TO 2 The Toronto-Domini 46,009 2.17 1.85 - - 8.67 5.62
0UKH.L 3 Bank of Montreal 40,175 14.74 13.11 27.30 27.30 26.33 20.37
BBVA.DE 4 Banco Bilbao Vizca 37,070 3.15 2.55 - - 5.22 4.31
CRIN.DE 5 UniCredit S.p.A. 30,190 9.29 9.29 6.79 6.79 6.76 7.18
SVCB.ME 6 PJSC Sovcombank 10,205 - - - - 0.00 0.00
0U8N.L 7 Credicorp Ltd. 7,797 11.37 7.21 6.75 4.59 6.46 4.50
ZIONL 8 Zions Bancorporati 4,948 9.77 8.55 10.47 9.29 11.21 10.04
0I1P.L 9 Comerica Incorpora 4,810 12.61 11.94 13.31 12.69 14.85 13.94
0M3L.L 10 Zions Bancorporati 4,543 9.64 8.29 9.03 9.03 8.98 6.90
BPOPM 11 Popular Capital Tr 4,197 2.60 2.47 -3.88 -3.68 -4.00 -3.90
0KH6.L 12 People's United Fi 1,893 13.01 11.16 9.80 9.05 10.73 9.74
0QQZ.L 13 St. Galler Kantona 1,696 6.74 6.22 4.86 5.21 4.60 5.41
0QM2.L 14 Berner Kantonalban 1,610 6.53 6.12 7.56 3.70 7.94 7.33
0G67.L 15 Sparebanken Vest 1,374 4.52 4.08 9.47 9.32 2.72 4.36
0RU6.L 16 SpareBank 1 Ostlan 1,369 7.48 6.22 17.30 14.52 16.81 15.02
0QNU.L 17 Luzerner Kantonalb 1,364 12.00 11.23 39.11 37.45 39.97 36.85

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple7.116.229.039.037.946.90
Full Range Median Multiple8.396.729.479.058.677.18
Industry Multiple8.077.0313.4912.3912.0310.59
Market Implied Multiple16.8415.9516.3015.5418.1917.08
Company (0I1P.L) Multiple12.6111.9413.3112.6914.8513.94
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue7177571,0131,063908967
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9,1509,5977,2136,666
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9,5919,6167,8766,937
(-) Net Debt4,4364,4364,4364,4364,4364,436
Winsorized Equity Value5,0984,7104,7145,1612,7772,230
Full Range Median Equity Value6,0125,0885,1555,1803,4402,501
(/) Shares Outstanding132132132132132132
Winsorized Fair Value$38.62$35.68$35.71$39.10$21.04$16.89
Full Range Median Fair Value$45.55$38.54$39.05$39.24$26.06$18.95
Current Price$91.50$91.50$91.50$91.50$91.50$91.50
Upside / Downside-57.79%-61.00%-60.97%-57.27%-77.01%-81.54%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$27.03$24.98$25.00$27.37$14.73$11.83
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy