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Multiples Valuation: AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (0HJO.L)

Industry: Real Estate - General Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $72.34 — $238.71
Selected (Average) $150.51
Upside to Live -16.79%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $131.11 — $256.26
Selected (Average) $177.00
Upside to Live -2.14%
Live Price $180.87

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0HQP.L 1 CBRE Group, Inc. 39,325 38.18 37.18 22.08 20.16 27.69 27.91
0MSG.L 2 Solon Eiendom ASA 10,953 0.50 0.41 -0.13 -0.11 -0.19 -0.13
0IRK.L 3 Altarea SCA 6,052 - - 30.16 37.50 10.15 55.60
0J66.L 4 Host Hotels & Reso 5,939 15.97 15.97 9.10 5.58 40.41 19.91
0I4W.L 5 Crown Castle Inc. 4,842 - - - - 34.09 -
0HOX.L 6 BXP, Inc. 3,464 - - 20.06 22.05 28.10 21.81
0HJO.L 7 AvalonBay Communit 3,012 23.53 20.94 11.82 10.94 31.41 29.10
0KYZ.L 8 SBA Communications 2,789 24.26 24.26 19.33 18.26 23.63 21.01
0QC9.L 9 LEG Immobilien SE 1,604 4.73 4.56 14.36 15.04 23.90 15.94
0QPD.L 10 Allreal Holding AG 1,041 8.81 8.14 14.02 14.02 7.74 10.95
0JX5.L 11 The Macerich Compa 1,026 - - 11.37 11.67 6.25 11.82
0JZZ.L 12 Medical Properties 948 - - 16.93 18.23 25.05 35.28
0L98.L 13 STAG Industrial, I 824 27.33 23.91 14.44 13.04 30.31 26.66
0NC0.L 14 Immobel S.A. 705 - - - - 13.55 -
0IXY.L 15 Société Foncièr 648 - - 13.45 11.96 14.04 -
0IW3.L 16 Global Net Lease, 577 - - 12.42 11.36 - 74.34

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple8.818.1414.1913.5323.6321.01
Full Range Median Multiple15.9715.9714.4014.5323.9021.81
Industry Multiple17.1116.3516.4816.5721.9229.20
Market Implied Multiple22.0319.6111.0610.2429.4027.24
Company (0HJO.L) Multiple23.5320.9411.8210.9431.4129.10
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,1691,3132,3162,503872941
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A32,85833,85920,60019,766
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A33,34936,35720,83320,519
(-) Net Debt-123-123-123-123-123-123
Winsorized Equity Value10,29810,68332,98133,98320,72419,889
Full Range Median Equity Value18,66420,97133,47236,48020,95620,642
(/) Shares Outstanding142142142142142142
Winsorized Fair Value$72.34$75.04$231.68$238.71$145.58$139.71
Full Range Median Fair Value$131.11$147.31$235.13$256.26$147.21$145.00
Current Price$180.87$180.87$180.87$180.87$180.87$180.87
Upside / Downside-60.01%-58.51%28.09%31.98%-19.51%-22.75%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$50.64$52.53$162.17$167.10$101.90$97.80
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy