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Multiples Valuation: China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited

China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited (0916.HK)

Industry: Renewable Utilities Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $2.88 — $4.72
Selected (Average) $3.80
Upside to Live -45.48%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $4.65 — $4.72
Selected (Average) $4.69
Upside to Live -32.77%
Live Price $6.97

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
9509.T 19 Hokkaido Electric 5,764 3.81 3.59 8.68 8.48 14.59 14.94
MEZ.AX 20 Meridian Energy Li 5,590 - - 18.07 18.88 26.92 11.45
9505.T 21 Hokuriku Electric 5,503 2.25 1.78 6.54 5.84 7.62 9.02
ANE.MC 22 Corporación Accio 5,315 8.53 8.53 7.45 7.45 9.61 10.42
9507.T 23 Shikoku Electric P 5,254 3.53 2.15 6.27 5.18 5.94 7.11
0579.HK 24 Beijing Jingneng C 5,221 3.11 2.67 3.66 3.07 5.49 5.55
002608.SZ 25 Jiangsu Guoxin Cor 4,981 8.58 7.80 10.19 9.75 11.03 11.21
0916.HK 26 China Longyuan Pow 4,803 9.15 8.77 14.25 14.38 22.04 18.20
0QOH.L 27 naturenergie holdi 4,407 6.70 6.32 4.29 3.92 7.46 5.93
EDHN.SW 28 Energiedienst Hold 4,407 6.70 6.32 4.29 3.92 7.46 5.93
600905.SS 29 China Three Gorges 4,150 22.79 21.09 15.89 13.56 44.43 34.65
GULF-R.BK 30 Gulf Energy Develo 4,037 7.31 3.91 8.61 5.42 3.48 6.50
BEPC 31 Brookfield Renewab 3,777 - - 9.44 9.44 27.84 29.29
600025.SS 32 Huaneng Lancang Ri 3,705 20.45 18.36 15.85 15.37 17.30 22.29
IFT.AX 33 Infratil Limited 3,473 18.76 16.52 11.48 10.20 - 105.90
1798.HK 34 China Datang Corpo 3,229 4.02 1.73 5.06 4.48 6.93 7.13

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple6.703.917.455.847.549.02
Full Range Median Multiple6.706.328.617.458.6210.42
Industry Multiple8.967.759.058.3314.0119.15
Market Implied Multiple9.899.4714.5814.7222.5518.62
Company (0916.HK) Multiple9.158.7714.2514.3822.0418.20
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue8368731,8671,8501,2071,462
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A13,91210,8019,10413,181
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A16,07913,78810,40115,228
(-) Net Debt18,95618,95618,95618,95618,95618,956
Winsorized Equity Value5,6063,411-5,044-8,155-9,852-5,775
Full Range Median Equity Value5,6065,513-2,876-5,168-8,554-3,728
(/) Shares Outstanding1,1861,1861,1861,1861,1861,186
Winsorized Fair Value$4.72$2.88$-4.25$-6.87$-8.30$-4.87
Full Range Median Fair Value$4.72$4.65$-2.42$-4.36$-7.21$-3.14
Current Price$6.97$6.97$6.97$6.97$6.97$6.97
Upside / Downside-32.21%-58.75%-161.00%-198.62%-219.14%-169.83%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$3.31$2.01$-2.98$-4.81$-5.81$-3.41
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy