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Multiples Valuation: China Water Affairs Group Limited

China Water Affairs Group Limited (0855.HK)

Industry: Regulated Water Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $10.30 — $28.00
Selected (Average) $17.47
Upside to Live 222.93%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $10.58 — $32.19
Selected (Average) $19.55
Upside to Live 261.38%
Live Price $5.41

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0371.HK 2 Beijing Enterprise 6,194 7.51 7.62 6.08 4.99 7.65 6.62
UU.L 3 United Utilities G 5,914 15.19 15.84 7.69 7.45 8.07 12.13
0807.HK 4 SIIC Environment H 5,769 3.70 3.65 8.10 7.72 11.29 11.38
0270.HK 5 Guangdong Investme 5,239 6.64 7.04 2.92 2.63 3.19 3.79
AWK 6 American Water Wor 5,070 24.41 22.00 14.59 13.29 17.24 20.70
071320.KS 7 Korea District Hea 2,734 3.44 1.88 5.90 4.83 14.69 7.34
WTRG 8 Essential Utilitie 2,380 15.57 12.75 13.37 11.50 26.74 16.59
0855.HK 9 China Water Affair 2,271 6.13 5.44 4.72 4.00 5.27 4.93
600323.SS 10 Grandblue Environm 1,830 11.70 10.19 14.43 12.91 12.77 16.92
CSMG3.SA 11 Companhia de Sanea 1,478 9.68 8.73 6.23 5.65 9.69 8.92
WTTR 12 Select Water Solut 1,410 54.99 54.99 6.57 6.57 - 44.55
000598.SZ 13 Chengdu Xingrong E 1,332 9.27 8.25 7.50 6.64 7.81 10.32
RXN 14 Zurn Water Solutio 1,295 39.39 29.73 79.60 92.10 36.13 58.34
SAPR11.SA 15 Companhia de Sanea 1,284 5.48 4.80 3.77 3.39 7.92 5.39
600461.SS 16 Jiangxi Hongcheng 1,137 9.43 8.37 6.62 5.94 9.36 9.20
601158.SS 17 Chongqing Water Gr 1,056 26.67 30.76 13.05 13.28 25.71 38.04

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.438.376.626.579.5310.32
Full Range Median Multiple9.688.737.506.6410.4911.38
Industry Multiple16.2115.1113.0913.2614.1618.01
Market Implied Multiple4.954.394.413.734.924.61
Company (0855.HK) Multiple6.135.444.724.005.274.93
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue2292588651,023775829
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A5,7286,7177,3888,552
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A6,4936,7928,1369,432
(-) Net Debt2,6822,6822,6822,6822,6822,682
Winsorized Equity Value2,1612,1603,0464,0354,7065,870
Full Range Median Equity Value2,2182,2533,8114,1105,4536,749
(/) Shares Outstanding210210210210210210
Winsorized Fair Value$10.30$10.30$14.53$19.25$22.44$28.00
Full Range Median Fair Value$10.58$10.75$18.18$19.60$26.01$32.19
Current Price$5.41$5.41$5.41$5.41$5.41$5.41
Upside / Downside90.48%90.45%168.54%255.74%314.84%417.51%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$7.21$7.21$10.17$13.47$15.71$19.60
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY